TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Sharks, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$336,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$338,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Avalanche77c179,522$138,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,290.0688151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Sharks23c141,300$32,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,49914057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Sharks23c46,363$10,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,663.517749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche78c35,000$27,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,699.9942552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Sharks22c33,750$7,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,425944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa583…1341backed Avalanche77c22,832$17,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,251.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Sharks22c22,102$4,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,885.728952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43fd…99a7backed Avalanche78c10,256$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.323647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Sharks23c5,555$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.6510352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Avalanche78c5,333$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.3315954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff1…d32bbacked Avalanche78c5,326$4,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.672254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Sharks22c4,565$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.255446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Sharks23c3,333$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.4822546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Sharks22c3,304$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.8831654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks11c2,629$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.761,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Sharks23c2,536$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.2830551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Sharks23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Sharks23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Sharks11c2,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Sharks21c1,928$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.8827143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche77c1,732$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.391,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks22c1,700$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38151044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks25c1,678$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.931,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Sharks23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1202…6fe7backed Sharks23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Sharks23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9836038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sharks16c1,415$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0361848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0585250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Avalanche78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0524945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Sharks23c1,200$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2764139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks4c1,098$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6854418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks13c1,005$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.173,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed Sharks23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Sharks23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23053337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Sharks10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Avalanche78c961.54$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5425446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche80c884.22$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.741,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Sharks21c857.2$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.017546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Sharks24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Avalanche78c755$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.112445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks21c749.96$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.491,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4212…0295backed Sharks23c704.22$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche76c668.25$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Sharks6c600$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3838738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Avalanche78c588$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3657453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Sharks22c525.86$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e04…0fa9backed Sharks22c503.91$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.86825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Sharks22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11075946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Avalanche76c499.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Sharks22c473.06$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.611,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Avalanche75c465.42$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.424045%18 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked Sharks22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995131.4%16 W · 35 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Sharks22c445.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0216753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Sharks23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Sharks23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Sharks23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007347.9%35 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Sharks24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Sharks24c395.59$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4465345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Avalanche78c395.55$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.021861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks12c375$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Sharks23c359.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.548748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Avalanche78c353.2$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.793953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1731…23c7backed Avalanche77c344.57$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.75988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+45.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sharks24c329$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.51,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Avalanche68c327$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4138744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked Avalanche78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Avalanche78c317$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7431851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dfe…9ff6backed Avalanche78c307.69$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.692157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Avalanche78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6613946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x063d…e00fbacked Avalanche77c283.38$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.18560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Sharks22c282.44$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.666434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Sharks22c281.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2362249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Avalanche77c260$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.85064%32 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Avalanche77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.744369.8%30 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Sharks23c239.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.165446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Avalanche77c234.51$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4448452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Sharks24c219.58$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.732648.2%157 W · 169 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397d…794fbacked Sharks7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Sharks23c212.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7643944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche76c209.83$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.362,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc40…eddbbacked Sharks24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x686a…c769backed Avalanche77c207.89$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.892650%13 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b6…917abacked Avalanche78c205$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Sharks49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Sharks49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988943.8%39 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b0…d159backed Sharks7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1460%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a4…adcdbacked Sharks9c176.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Sharks24c172.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6252946.9%248 W · 281 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e7…1f62backed Sharks24c158.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3825050.4%126 W · 124 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Avalanche78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3348046.9%225 W · 255 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sharks17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c7b…a592backed Sharks24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Sharks22c149.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3319844.4%88 W · 110 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…3b53backed Sharks23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick37cpaid-75.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Avalanche77c129.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9416766.5%111 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3af…4635backed Avalanche78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb14c…760cbacked Avalanche78c125.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.57955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Sharks25c125.32$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1722516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Avalanche77c109.04$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.047153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Avalanche77c108.72$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8714447.9%69 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.