TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c7b…a592

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT6360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$63.13
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.83
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+194.1%+$21.35
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+156.4%+$23.46
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$62.21
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$35.4
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$26.5
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+26.6%+$21
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+78.6%+$44
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$92.99
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+69.5%+$61.5
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$55
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+88.7%+$46.99
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+29.9%+$23
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+85.2%+$23
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$55.99
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+43.1%+$43.61
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+68.9%+$52.45
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+56.2%+$54
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$52.99
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+56.3%+$36
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+56.2%+$10.8
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$22.4
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+42.9%+$12
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+42.9%+$9
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+37%+$36.99
Falcons vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+81.8%+$18
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$61.15
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$11.6
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$35
Patriots vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$29.84
Giants vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+244.8%+$24.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+170.3%+$69.3
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$43.33
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$33
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$37.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$43.7
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Cubs vs. Marlinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+233.3%+$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+59.7%+$112.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$40.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$68.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.