TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Jets vs. Dolphins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dolphinsof Jets, Dolphins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$348,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$361,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Dolphins56c50,735$28,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,137.734736.2%17 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Jets30c41,688$12,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,397.3316545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Jets59c29,647$17,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,635.143976.9%30 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Jets34c14,263$4,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,813.713116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Jets28c13,083$3,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,624.3632438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8625…90afbacked Jets57c12,709$7,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,198.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dolphins47c10,177$4,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,388.9260049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dolphins71c9,859$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.1539754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Dolphins71c9,571$6,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.6144246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Dolphins72c9,254$6,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,591.1136246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Dolphins70c8,713$6,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.9825137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Dolphins63c8,140$5,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,025.8917823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Dolphins71c8,000$5,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3209645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Dolphins41c7,820$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,614.219732%31 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Dolphins65c6,406$4,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.2512570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets48c5,286$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.5131848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Dolphins71c4,856$3,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.217541.3%31 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Dolphins72c4,678$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.1910334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Dolphins73c3,758$2,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.536752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Jets29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Dolphins71c3,425$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.371850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a627backed Dolphins71c3,117$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Dolphins71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Dolphins71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87014757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Dolphins71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.97754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Dolphins71c2,157$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.6128556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x744b…6132backed Jets70c2,152$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec1…f74ebacked Dolphins72c2,121$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf47f…c0b2backed Dolphins71c2,113$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.681266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jets33c2,057$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.720634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Jets29c2,046$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.3211738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc210…434cbacked Jets13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Dolphins67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66014445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Dolphins71c1,916$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.6915722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3275…e7fcbacked Jets35c1,708$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Jets30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006028.3%17 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Jets29c1,660$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.3827339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jets29c1,491$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.5210738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Jets1c1,485$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.852245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Jets29c1,484$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.365848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Jets17c1,400$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-62.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8df…32b4backed Jets32c1,300$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Jets28c1,280$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.440%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Dolphins71c1,221$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.183652.8%19 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Jets30c1,200$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36411821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Jets11c1,011$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.213821.1%8 W · 30 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+55.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Jets28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x876d…5238backed Dolphins53c985.49$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.733135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jets28c979.53$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2713040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Dolphins52c892.39$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.333148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd6…27d3backed Jets40c807.31$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.472040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed Dolphins68c803.79$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.792979.3%23 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+28.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Jets28c801.45$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.558650%43 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff3e…c6e3backed Jets24c787.57$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.72638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Jets65c752$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.2412842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Jets29c750$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.57835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Dolphins51c739.32$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.5710960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Dolphins69c700$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2186956.5%39 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Dolphins71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2033447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Dolphins71c690$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.119864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f6…e98fbacked Jets46c649.28$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.431822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Jets31c646.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.483250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…d647backed Jets52c643.52$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.12922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb381…921abacked Jets50c603.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b39…eeaabacked Jets27c599.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.23324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-57.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec5…9869backed Dolphins33c599.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.471553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Dolphins61c568.13$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.483557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Dolphins65c555$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2522142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Dolphins39c521.02$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.5822638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Jets69c505.21$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.596752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Dolphins70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5445…58f0backed Jets30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Jets38c499.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1893351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Dolphins71c492.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9613655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…c86dbacked Dolphins65c465.19$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed8…de47backed Jets38c458.97$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.41520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-62.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Jets70c428.48$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ab…1b15backed Jets29c413.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c51…ae56backed Jets79c401.72$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Jets24c400$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Dolphins45c400$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2226634.8%23 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Jets28c399.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11229356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Jets35c399.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jets27c393.37$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2110624.5%26 W · 80 L-12.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6bea…cf42backed Jets39c378.49$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcabf…c2d7backed Dolphins65c376.47$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.471163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Jets61c364$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.135056%28 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Dolphins73c355.26$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.923560%21 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Dolphins71c354.97$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9710842.6%46 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccb3…8d4bbacked Jets60c338.56$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Dolphins73c336.99$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9913260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ef6…eb68backed Jets30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27e…336fbacked Jets30c325$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3df…d0f8backed Dolphins72c325$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Jets28c300$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.513051.5%67 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x486c…3d03backed Jets30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904951%25 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Dolphins71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.697177.5%55 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6084…79c6backed Dolphins80c276.67$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.818855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Jets60c271.48$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1420733.8%70 W · 137 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Jets25c266.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.84420.5%9 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-40.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.