NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a80c645221964b8231aa9dead0a5f77adcfabb9360f1877d51b3bad4450c3ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Flyers, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7b3…92f8backed Capitals | 69c | 112,707$77,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,864.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Flyers | 31c | 28,493$8,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,832.89 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Flyers | 30c | 23,263$7,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,058.96 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Flyers | 31c | 21,861$6,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,776.96 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Flyers | 31c | 17,000$5,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,270 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers | 31c | 8,400$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.92 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Capitals | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Capitals | 70c | 7,115$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.39 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Flyers | 31c | 5,337$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Flyers | 31c | 5,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.96 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Flyers | 30c | 5,001$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.3 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Capitals | 70c | 3,571$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.43 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers | 31c | 3,200$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers | 31c | 3,096$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.44 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flyers | 31c | 2,529$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.67 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Flyers | 29c | 2,328$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 30c | 2,148$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.35 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals | 71c | 2,077$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.46 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers | 30c | 1,950$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flyers | 31c | 1,900$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.92 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers | 30c | 1,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.55 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Capitals | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Flyers | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Capitals | 70c | 1,150$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.97 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6ba6backed Capitals | 71c | 1,059$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Flyers | 29c | 1,008$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 70c | 1,005$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Flyers | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Flyers | 30c | 999.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Flyers | 31c | 970$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 69c | 924.68$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.65 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Capitals | 71c | 907.83$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.33 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Flyers | 32c | 900$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flyers | 31c | 774$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.61 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers | 29c | 700.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.29 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flyers | 31c | 640$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Capitals | 70c | 608.56$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.28 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 30c | 605$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…3204backed Capitals | 70c | 598.04$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…7673backed Flyers | 31c | 580.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers | 31c | 487.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers | 31c | 396.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Capitals | 70c | 357$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Capitals | 70c | 342.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 69c | 299.94$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 20c | 271.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Flyers | 31c | 234$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 68c | 218.13$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Capitals | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…de50backed Capitals | 71c | 213.27$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…ed2dbacked Capitals | 70c | 186.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Flyers | 6c | 171.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…dbefbacked Flyers | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Flyers | 31c | 162.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75a…8e0fbacked Flyers | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…5dc7backed Flyers | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…750abacked Capitals | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…7b43backed Capitals | 70c | 146$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed Capitals | 70c | 144.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Capitals | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Capitals | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Flyers | 30c | 128$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e55…e4aebacked Flyers | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…915cbacked Capitals | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…9785backed Flyers | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Flyers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Capitals | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…8a59backed Flyers | 30c | 93.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Flyers | 31c | 90.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a0…b232backed Capitals | 70c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…2e8fbacked Flyers | 30c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…c187backed Capitals | 71c | 81.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Capitals | 70c | 79.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…fdd7backed Capitals | 70c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…1617backed Flyers | 30c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Flyers | 30c | 72.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Flyers | 30c | 71.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Capitals | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…159bbacked Capitals | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…815dbacked Capitals | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Capitals | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Capitals | 70c | 70.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Capitals | 70c | 69.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Flyers | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Flyers | 31c | 67.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…6e88backed Capitals | 70c | 67.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Capitals | 78c | 66.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…12f7backed Flyers | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers | 17c | 65.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Flyers | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Capitals | 70c | 64.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…b287backed Capitals | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…8c38backed Capitals | 70c | 61.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Capitals | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…fc67backed Capitals | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.