TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2759…c187

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.46
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.41
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.95
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39.47
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$29.35
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42.16
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.85
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.35
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.45
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.91
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Suns vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$9.81
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.01
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$24.03
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$33.67
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32.09
Penguins vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$6.23
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$23.69
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.97
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$7.35
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.