NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef4c449ccdee694a6c31da610799102b96bd8119549f98143384a84efa54100b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Thunder, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $496,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed Thunder | 14c | 45,354$6,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,327.39 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Thunder | 42c | 40,030$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 60c | 25,979$15,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,308.02 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Rockets | 32c | 20,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,699.95 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Thunder | 72c | 13,611$9,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,736.3 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockets | 67c | 12,818$8,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,172.29 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Thunder | 69c | 10,794$7,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,453.44 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Thunder | 17c | 10,059$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.17 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 29c | 10,000$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.83 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 29c | 9,599$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,817.66 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 68c | 7,275$4,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets | 30c | 6,122$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.53 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Thunder | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.98 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Rockets | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.36 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 68c | 5,050$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.77 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder | 69c | 5,027$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.01 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 32c | 5,024$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.4 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Thunder | 69c | 5,015$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.61 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Thunder | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16e…4076backed Rockets | 44c | 4,548$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 44c | 3,600$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 72c | 3,543$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.43 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockets | 70c | 3,504$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.25 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Thunder | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 18c | 2,831$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.65 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Rockets | 57c | 2,808$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.59 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Thunder | 65c | 2,712$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd361…3885backed Rockets | 79c | 2,630$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Thunder | 69c | 2,485$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 69c | 2,400$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.93 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockets | 31c | 2,257$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.77 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockets | 28c | 2,250$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Thunder | 73c | 2,187$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Rockets | 31c | 2,097$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.77 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Rockets | 34c | 2,059$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.47 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Thunder | 18c | 2,044$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.44 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Thunder | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Thunder | 2c | 2,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets | 29c | 1,999$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.62 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Thunder | 70c | 1,845$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.29 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Thunder | 25c | 1,780$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.58 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Rockets | 28c | 1,778$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.34 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Thunder | 69c | 1,746$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.21 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 55c | 1,729$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.89 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Thunder | 65c | 1,701$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Thunder | 40c | 1,652$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…f405backed Thunder | 68c | 1,601$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…2e0dbacked Rockets | 32c | 1,600$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Thunder | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…0ed4backed Thunder | 73c | 1,367$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Rockets | 41c | 1,316$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.56 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Thunder | 73c | 1,302$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.25 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b28…4843backed Rockets | 33c | 1,216$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.83 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Thunder | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…597dbacked Thunder | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…ab01backed Rockets | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Thunder | 71c | 1,194$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.52 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Thunder | 9c | 1,150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Thunder | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Thunder | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Rockets | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 31c | 922.19$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.27 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Thunder | 70c | 885.56$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.89 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder | 33c | 834.19$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.38 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Thunder | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Thunder | 8c | 799.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rockets | 32c | 770$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.6 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 31c | 754.91$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.89 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Thunder | 59c | 712.38$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Thunder | 20c | 710$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Thunder | 29c | 707.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0397…0657backed Thunder | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…65e2backed Rockets | 68c | 695.96$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…43a5backed Rockets | 50c | 694.79$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.17 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Thunder | 50c | 686$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Rockets | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Rockets | 44c | 579.77$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.77 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Thunder | 29c | 573.02$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Thunder | 9c | 566$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Thunder | 35c | 564.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.57 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Rockets | 29c | 554.06$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.64 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…b360backed Thunder | 15c | 552.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Thunder | 55c | 539.8$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.89 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Thunder | 34c | 526.94$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.61 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockets | 44c | 507.46$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.25 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Thunder | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Thunder | 69c | 496$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.24 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 68c | 481.04$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.11 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Thunder | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…563fbacked Rockets | 80c | 434.43$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…b36fbacked Thunder | 20c | 434.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rockets | 51c | 431.66$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.96 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Thunder | 20c | 429.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Thunder | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbea3…81d6backed Rockets | 29c | 410$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…3febbacked Thunder | 32c | 407.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Rockets | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Thunder | 55c | 362.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.