NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b2d63768dc7469e2461d636f36859550060380bb33daac47817cfa96f3940fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Red Wings, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 41c | 17,031$6,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,984.05 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Capitals | 75c | 14,526$10,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.75 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Red Wings | 39c | 9,506$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d8…70a8backed Red Wings | 40c | 9,383$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Red Wings | 33c | 9,168$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.89 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Red Wings | 37c | 7,870$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.72 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 62c | 6,313$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.04 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Capitals | 63c | 6,095$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.15 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…125dbacked Capitals | 60c | 6,036$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Capitals | 62c | 5,087$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…c6efbacked Red Wings | 40c | 4,740$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…973dbacked Capitals | 60c | 4,154$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…cad2backed Capitals | 60c | 3,930$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 66c | 3,825$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.12 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Capitals | 63c | 2,896$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.8 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 36c | 2,530$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.02 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Capitals | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.25 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Capitals | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…db9abacked Capitals | 62c | 2,018$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Wings | 36c | 1,871$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.02 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3a…0a11backed Capitals | 62c | 1,624$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.05 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ba…a0b4backed Capitals | 63c | 1,596$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Capitals | 65c | 1,542$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.52 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Wings | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 61c | 999.96$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.98 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Capitals | 63c | 998$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 66c | 935.38$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.92 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 38c | 930$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings | 36c | 921.72$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.82 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Red Wings | 39c | 893$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.39 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Capitals | 61c | 654.1$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.1 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Capitals | 64c | 638$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.68 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Capitals | 63c | 618.77$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…abffbacked Capitals | 77c | 485.03$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings | 38c | 419.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.58 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Capitals | 63c | 403.17$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Red Wings | 46c | 370$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…e756backed Red Wings | 37c | 350.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…6334backed Capitals | 64c | 312.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Capitals | 65c | 309.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Capitals | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…c858backed Capitals | 63c | 270$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b21…d47dbacked Capitals | 73c | 268.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings | 16c | 247.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…eb0abacked Red Wings | 40c | 238.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…2468backed Red Wings | 40c | 237.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Capitals | 64c | 235.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Capitals | 65c | 218.48$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…3b5fbacked Red Wings | 40c | 208.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Red Wings | 39c | 202.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…a81ebacked Capitals | 61c | 191.13$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Red Wings | 38c | 189.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…fc79backed Red Wings | 40c | 182.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…bb03backed Red Wings | 36c | 180.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Capitals | 60c | 170.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…1b6bbacked Capitals | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa165…e624backed Red Wings | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2256backed Capitals | 52c | 168$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…e624backed Red Wings | 48c | 168$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…8235backed Capitals | 51c | 168$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1364…d17fbacked Red Wings | 49c | 168$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…03ffbacked Capitals | 52c | 165$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…9ae6backed Red Wings | 48c | 165$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Capitals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…de50backed Capitals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Capitals | 62c | 161.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 62c | 161.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…e263backed Red Wings | 41c | 158.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Capitals | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Capitals | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…b0bdbacked Red Wings | 40c | 155.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Capitals | 65c | 154.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…1ecdbacked Capitals | 62c | 150.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9511…6d8ebacked Capitals | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…56f4backed Capitals | 61c | 145.69$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f5…67e0backed Red Wings | 40c | 133.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…1be9backed Red Wings | 39c | 133.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…c104backed Red Wings | 40c | 132.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Red Wings | 39c | 131.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Capitals | 61c | 131.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Capitals | 77c | 130.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Capitals | 62c | 129.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7530…aac4backed Red Wings | 40c | 124.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals | 61c | 124.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…f805backed Red Wings | 40c | 118.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Capitals | 61c | 118.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…3839backed Capitals | 61c | 113.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…ea9abacked Capitals | 62c | 109.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…9c20backed Red Wings | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd1…d89fbacked Capitals | 65c | 105.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Red Wings | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…c95cbacked Capitals | 62c | 103.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 41c | 101.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…466fbacked Capitals | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Capitals | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.