TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Kings, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f33…341dbacked Pacers67c50,000$33,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,499.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe15e…3718backed Kings33c49,980$16,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,493.440%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Pacers56c27,526$15,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,109.676758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings52c18,669$9,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,781.23,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Pacers64c12,297$7,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,413.2728341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…dea4backed Kings37c9,873$3,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,633.54714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings35c9,329$3,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.3596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings57c8,114$4,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,657.5266853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Pacers70c7,022$4,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.9815741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Kings53c6,127$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.2812938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Kings39c6,103$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.9847848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Pacers51c6,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.0929747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Kings50c5,747$2,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,895.1470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kings42c5,553$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.261345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Pacers35c5,484$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.522049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Pacers53c5,462$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.783961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Pacers69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Kings69c4,535$3,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.5230061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings36c4,093$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.381,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pacers61c4,039$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.0536748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Pacers52c4,020$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.53756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Pacers70c3,862$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.4719451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kings32c3,674$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.7837734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pacers66c3,593$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.6928347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings48c3,004$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.455,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Kings56c2,990$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.7129957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Pacers67c2,976$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.564546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Kings77c2,790$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1507864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers38c2,762$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.381,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers42c2,661$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.71,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings33c2,568$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.1977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kings52c2,444$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.7848046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings32c2,416$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.151,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings33c2,208$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.161,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd31a…a098backed Kings40c2,150$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.52835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Kings40c2,013$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.128251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Kings35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.954040%16 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kings2c1,840$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.928783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers44c1,728$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.3988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers67c1,557$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.0529643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Pacers66c1,519$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.7936057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Pacers61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58540627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Kings31c1,263$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.5310428.8%30 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Pacers53c1,130$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.617256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings2c1,054$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.091,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pacers62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102060%12 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+43%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings33c999.92$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9773051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pacers61c909.84$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.8414563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings40c863.18$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.0270951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers64c799.92$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.971,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Kings40c784.75$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8643…dc82backed Pacers31c750$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.55827.6%16 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+92.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Pacers60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2806450%32 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49e…2c7dbacked Kings70c604$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Pacers68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19245743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Pacers65c600$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21368642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pacers60c599.97$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.991,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Kings34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb004…51b4backed Pacers61c588.1$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.144531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Pacers56c585.85$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2726640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb5…510dbacked Pacers51c565$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.356651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4759…ec88backed Kings34c558.41$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.868350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Kings60c539.58$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9536751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Pacers27c505.48$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.335530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings33c500.19$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5287647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Pacers65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17530351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Kings41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Kings48c484.96$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Kings60c470$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Pacers65c466$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.15563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Pacers66c463.75$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5525865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c3e…4470backed Pacers68c439.71$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3caa…4a0bbacked Kings67c420.43$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.692161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Kings46c413.2$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Pacers65c361.2$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.428952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Pacers68c359.73$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.118469%58 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings33c353.45$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Pacers65c350$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7230251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Pacers63c322.49$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3223554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Kings37c311$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1950047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Pacers47c307.45$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.457851.3%40 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Kings34c302.3$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7920553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Kings32c301.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3726933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Kings36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Pacers66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Kings10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Pacers64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Pacers68c298.53$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.534344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pacers68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Pacers68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1223658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Kings33c293.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.77548%36 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pacers63c275$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7562351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kings44c269.78$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Kings53c254.45$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5626934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Kings39c253.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Kings40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Kings34c249.93$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9810451%53 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Pacers42c235.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.345450%27 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.