TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolves win on 2025-04-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$386,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$396,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99ed…431abacked Yes38c118,000$44,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,1601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e7…de49backed No62c118,000$73,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,160475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d2…81e0backed No62c58,906$36,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,501.132646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes38c32,325$12,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,058.6411454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No48c17,440$8,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,455.143718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No54c14,860$7,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,984.8879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90031944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked No61c8,493$5,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,180.713333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes40c4,938$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.0179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked No63c3,737$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.821844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No49c2,769$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.4617153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes40c2,580$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.8813857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c1,812$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00983459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No58c1,768$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.491,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes39c1,659$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.4524566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes43c1,526$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.4437652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed No59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8854264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Yes70c1,231$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.981250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No57c871.18$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3640135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No61c691.48$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed No48c559.96$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.896737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes40c543.55$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3138645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes38c538.26$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7721445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No55c424.69$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3281559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Yes42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2325257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No58c398.58$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1824062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No54c335.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3931359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No28c309.12$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5528355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1898453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked No35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes38c265$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3452060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No9c159.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6820744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f7f…b28abacked No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes43c149$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4422834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No55c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07cc…bdc2backed Yes39c136.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90eb…f90cbacked Yes39c127.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No55c127$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4859958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes71c120.32$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.891968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc15…3e71backed Yes41c113.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No59c109.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4848…c4c4backed Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4964…4fddbacked Yes79c94.81$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.721060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes41c89.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.818339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…f57dbacked No55c87.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.631747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceba…b645backed No63c85.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed No60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ce…f415backed Yes39c82.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa254…40a6backed No61c82.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcea7…8e04backed No62c82.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No59c81.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2230851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…43f0backed No62c81.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Yes40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No29c79.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.976741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa2…9fe2backed No61c78.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes36c76.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0917447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8d6…f330backed No63c75.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2271…de58backed No63c75.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2bd…6822backed Yes39c73.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes40c67.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.54628.3%13 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.283754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d66…3c95backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…c187backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…92efbacked No63c50.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed No62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36a…0c80backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b5…e4f0backed Yes38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+80.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked No61c49.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.499150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd07d…8a68backed No64c47.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.69366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.157061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x827e…dd09backed Yes41c45.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes72c44.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.442060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes38c42.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.126247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed No63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.479334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Yes41c36.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.271968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe00d…815dbacked Yes39c35.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.96100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+84.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No56c35.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9518752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d9f…af72backed No63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29fc…20b7backed Yes41c30.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3eb…6f4fbacked Yes39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+70.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.615726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No64c28.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.436845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ead…5f30backed No61c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Yes65c24.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.624744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb614…7bc4backed No61c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e54…32bbbacked No62c22.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Yes65c19.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.951758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.