Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6555732c51e4a84056743342303b91da8c6e0f10752a8fe4ed1efad8a8451d21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 26c | 28,414$7,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,477.5 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 27c | 12,258$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.5 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked No | 71c | 3,367$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 1,382$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.35 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 31c | 810.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed No | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 28c | 500$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 499.97$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 348$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 31c | 334.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 30c | 334.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 179.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 77c | 146.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 24c | 133$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd025…1c54backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…aedebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 29c | 96.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 31c | 90.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 72c | 87.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 24c | 83.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 26c | 80.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…239abacked No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…fed3backed No | 71c | 64.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…e72dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…6f4fbacked No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…f046backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will West Ham win on 2025-04-01?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-04-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.