TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd025…1c54

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$19.32
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.16
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+203%+$33.5
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$45.97
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$42
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$17.56
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$23.28
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+50.2%+$20.06
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+34.3%+$18.84
Stars vs. Krakenbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$24.21
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Kentucky vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.77
BYU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+37%+$16.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.