NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba05fe0a98e1993d3d26043ae6e666b13a239706974f72c06e2e26b812789a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Bruins, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Red Wings | 65c | 9,917$6,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.98 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Bruins | 35c | 3,583$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.05 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Bruins | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bruins | 36c | 2,330$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.45 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bruins | 35c | 2,271$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.07 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Bruins | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Red Wings | 66c | 1,998$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 64c | 1,678$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.08 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Red Wings | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Red Wings | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Bruins | 38c | 1,493$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.85 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Bruins | 38c | 1,460$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.8 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Wings | 62c | 1,420$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.55 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Bruins | 35c | 1,399$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.65 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bruins | 38c | 1,291$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.78 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bruins | 35c | 1,152$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.17 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bruins | 37c | 1,081$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.13 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bruins | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Red Wings | 61c | 987$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.93 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bruins | 34c | 892.95$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 16c | 733.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Red Wings | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bruins | 37c | 600$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Bruins | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Bruins | 35c | 418.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Bruins | 38c | 332.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Red Wings | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Red Wings | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bruins | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Bruins | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Bruins | 37c | 143.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Red Wings | 61c | 130.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bruins | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bruins | 36c | 109.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bruins | 33c | 101.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…e72dbacked Bruins | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -77%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bruins | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…7c2fbacked Red Wings | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Bruins | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…22b0backed Bruins | 28c | 85.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…1329backed Bruins | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3e71backed Red Wings | 66c | 82.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Red Wings | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…9544backed Bruins | 35c | 73.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…8630backed Bruins | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Bruins | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Bruins | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd025…1c54backed Red Wings | 66c | 71.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Red Wings | 64c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Red Wings | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Bruins | 34c | 56.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Bruins | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Bruins | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Red Wings | 66c | 51.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecf…6f9cbacked Bruins | 38c | 44.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Red Wings | 59c | 40.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Red Wings | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Red Wings | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Red Wings | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…866fbacked Red Wings | 63c | 27.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…279dbacked Red Wings | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Red Wings | 66c | 18.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Red Wings | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…5634backed Red Wings | 63c | 17.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Red Wings | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.