MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89f60039b904c6d4e4ae2e455f9d53db8dbd93507fc9c85e065e3a43c801da30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Braves, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Braves | 60c | 20,240$12,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,143.81 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Nationals | 40c | 15,002$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,001.25 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 33c | 10,794$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.03 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Braves | 72c | 6,129$4,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,428.91 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Braves | 60c | 6,112$3,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667.36 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 40c | 5,250$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 40c | 3,533$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.57 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 53c | 3,011$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.75 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Nationals | 67c | 3,003$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.34 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 39c | 2,717$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.69 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Nationals | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Braves | 32c | 2,361$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.75 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Nationals | 40c | 2,300$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 68c | 2,152$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Braves | 59c | 2,013$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Nationals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 40c | 1,882$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Braves | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 41c | 1,388$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.8 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Braves | 75c | 1,359$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.26 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f94…e165backed Nationals | 41c | 1,240$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 52c | 1,108$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.83 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Braves | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Nationals | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nationals | 40c | 952.29$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.37 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Braves | 25c | 844.83$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Nationals | 74c | 805$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nationals | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Braves | 27c | 742.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Braves | 36c | 625$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Braves | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Braves | 31c | 570.33$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.76 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 65c | 547.92$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Braves | 60c | 519.55$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.3 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 79c | 500$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Braves | 18c | 488.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 59c | 474.58$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Nationals | 74c | 440.86$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.43 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Braves | 32c | 429.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…a7b9backed Braves | 47c | 429.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Braves | 26c | 380.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed Nationals | 40c | 380$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Braves | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…286bbacked Braves | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Braves | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Braves | 34c | 321.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Braves | 60c | 310.42$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Braves | 57c | 290.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Braves | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…5739backed Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 28c | 230$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Braves | 58c | 217.37$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Braves | 57c | 210.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Braves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Braves | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Braves | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a7…e1f9backed Nationals | 69c | 145.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Nationals | 77c | 143.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Braves | 16c | 125.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nationals | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 59c | 120.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f3…9ca0backed Braves | 45c | 119.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f2…776fbacked Nationals | 42c | 119.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…91e4backed Nationals | 42c | 118.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…da70backed Nationals | 42c | 117$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…b1dfbacked Nationals | 42c | 115.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a79…8a67backed Nationals | 42c | 115.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…bcd3backed Nationals | 41c | 113$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…9feabacked Braves | 59c | 113$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777c…49a1backed Nationals | 42c | 112.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves | 60c | 110.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 21c | 109.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…a86bbacked Braves | 20c | 105.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Braves | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Nationals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed Braves | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 41c | 96.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Nationals | 59c | 95.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Braves | 60c | 95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…1308backed Braves | 59c | 91.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…ee95backed Braves | 60c | 90.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ae…79c5backed Braves | 30c | 90.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…8935backed Nationals | 42c | 89.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…c041backed Braves | 60c | 89.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Braves | 45c | 89.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…9297backed Braves | 60c | 88.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…024abacked Braves | 60c | 87.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…ff68backed Nationals | 42c | 87.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…a8fbbacked Braves | 60c | 86.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…499cbacked Braves | 60c | 85.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f0…87fdbacked Braves | 60c | 85.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…cea7backed Braves | 31c | 84.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Nationals | 75c | 84.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…4addbacked Nationals | 42c | 83.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…8165backed Braves | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.