Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1028dbf1cba600785a0489ca73cb7184c37f8edbbcb814d9c615f1c39d95572c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 14c | 40,693$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 14c | 30,551$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.94 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 13c | 14,641$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.43 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 5,050$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.49 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 15c | 3,119$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,469$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 10c | 895.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 10c | 822$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yes | 12c | 684$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 7c | 517.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 12c | 380.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 11c | 344.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 7c | 313.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 11c | 282.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 210$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…402fbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…c2bcbacked Yes | 11c | 136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…67fcbacked Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd025…1c54backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2025-04-01?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.