Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c253843d9e80261899e8e4e27ddda49088c425963786db54cb3863b971e9e0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Yes | 66c | 34,414$22,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 34c | 33,390$11,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,352.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 35c | 24,394$8,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,530.08 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 65c | 18,076$11,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,335.72 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed No | 34c | 5,954$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 34c | 5,050$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.92 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 65c | 4,945$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.49 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 34c | 2,765$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.72 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Yes | 69c | 2,135$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 31c | 2,016$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.1 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179c…2d61backed Yes | 66c | 1,554$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…fa41backed No | 34c | 1,552$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 31c | 1,491$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.18 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 66c | 1,445$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.83 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Yes | 66c | 1,262$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 967.24$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.02 | 700 | 72.3%506 W · 194 L | +83.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 64c | 772.8$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.21 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 32c | 754.1$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 66c | 753.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.12 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 33c | 727.93$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.22 | 835 | 59.3%495 W · 340 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 32c | 699.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 61c | 593.77$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.57 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 66c | 551.85$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.05 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 68c | 500$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 34c | 499.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 68c | 450.23$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.81 | 330 | 36.1%119 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…14f3backed Yes | 66c | 398.74$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 68c | 340.72$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 68c | 308.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed No | 33c | 304.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…70b0backed Yes | 66c | 301.08$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…4684backed No | 36c | 291.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Yes | 68c | 285.01$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5397backed Yes | 65c | 276.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc78…4e56backed No | 36c | 274.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 33c | 273$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 67c | 271.31$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f2…2de4backed No | 37c | 261.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…32e8backed No | 38c | 254.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 66c | 240.03$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 68c | 234.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 65c | 231.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 66c | 228.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…c2bcbacked Yes | 67c | 225$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 5c | 211.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 66c | 210.24$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Yes | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 39c | 161.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked No | 34c | 159.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…b15ebacked No | 35c | 151.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 67c | 149.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa1…250abacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…7c5fbacked No | 35c | 148.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480c…81f2backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Yes | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6279…fb37backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e70cbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…6b02backed No | 36c | 137.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa46a…98bdbacked No | 39c | 136.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…30b9backed No | 35c | 134.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…5741backed No | 21c | 131.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…036bbacked No | 21c | 130.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Yes | 65c | 129.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…33a8backed No | 15c | 129.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b44…f8b9backed No | 39c | 126.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…605dbacked No | 39c | 119.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 69c | 113.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 67c | 108.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…a0a4backed Yes | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4848…c4c4backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db4…d97fbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked No | 34c | 94.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…6f34backed No | 35c | 85.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…3bfebacked Yes | 66c | 81.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342f…e786backed Yes | 66c | 81.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…4022backed Yes | 66c | 78.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-04-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.