TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal vs. Fulham end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb636…32bbbacked Yes24c2,481$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes22c2,000$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9441437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No78c1,173$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.2690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No75c998.72$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.6879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No78c835.84$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.911,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed No79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.913161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes21c537$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7717447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes22c453.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes21c365.38$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3840135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de4…2d29backed Yes29c274$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.461118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No79c115$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2352060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes21c109.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes20c95.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.549637.5%36 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.715726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e39…a802backed No78c65.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x548c…763bbacked Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No76c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.631359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes23c64.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.869334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9c…842bbacked Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40b8…e72dbacked No77c62.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d42…f046backed No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.31675%12 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No77c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa301…4097backed No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d9…1af1backed No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x277d…e0bfbacked No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba0…70c5backed No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa8…8c66backed No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee57…b88cbacked No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4d…4054backed No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1158…3187backed No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4640…5484backed No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cbd…65bcbacked No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb5…665dbacked No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0559…54d5backed No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1c3…df6fbacked No80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e3e…c8fabacked No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc98…6609backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd07a…8396backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbb…14a8backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce1a…d1cbbacked No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…0326backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c4…5d24backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd980…6698backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfab…0d1dbacked No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7cf…9ebdbacked No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…b3eebacked No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7b…5cd4backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc893…52aabacked No80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f78…9892backed No80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b88…3ae5backed No80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33cf…a573backed No80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db2…f00fbacked No80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…894dbacked No80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6428…537ebacked No80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9655…c52ebacked No80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d6…a592backed No80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5081…7ed5backed No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc299…a8ffbacked No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23e…c661backed No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ca…90c4backed No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…566dbacked No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…5917backed No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cdd…7202backed No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61d…76dcbacked No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8d…0284backed No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9170…64f5backed No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd850…b44cbacked No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab79…580fbacked No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d43…8206backed No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27e…d929backed No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc232…d709backed No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b29…dc68backed No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf27…9a89backed No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa29c…ddcfbacked No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb23…0b48backed No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc6…f32dbacked No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd797…6c18backed No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe273…3057backed No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x829c…8ac3backed No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae0b…73d6backed No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef3c…362dbacked No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5280…9702backed No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x093c…8a5bbacked No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3928…fbf9backed No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x205a…1d2bbacked No80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d20…130cbacked No80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b0…7021backed No80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49c…f396backed No80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda0…d98dbacked No80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.