TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb636…32bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Golf at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+525%+$61.76
Will the Mumbai Indians win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$40
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$347.1
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,472Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+124.9%+$3,085.93
Chennai Super Kings vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,178.99
Delhi Capitals vs. Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$702.1
Rajasthan Royals vs. Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+155.3%+$2,406.57
Delhi Capitals vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+52.6%+$635.75
Chennai Super Kings vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$863.61
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Rajasthan Royalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+74.8%+$34.24
Sunrisers Hyderabad vs. Mumbai Indiansbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.24
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+85.1%+$65.43
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$272.58
Gujarat Titans vs. Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.91
Mumbai Indians vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.63
Delhi Capitals vs. Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+110.4%+$677.97
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+61.1%+$36.17
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.76
Chennai Super Kings vs. Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,992.5
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Delhi Capitalsbacked Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,124
Gujarat Titans vs. Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.67
Punjab Kings vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$255.84
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$951Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+895.4%+$8,513.96
Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$565.78
Chennai Super Kings vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Chennai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.25
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-54.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.99
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.31
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+352.8%+$1,334.13
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.22
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.2
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.84
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.97
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,282
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$9.48
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,437Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$1,367.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$128.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$351.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,596.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.