Cricket · resolved market
Chennai Super Kings vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2a92022159b7dcc9b818de3db65db9fe6ee433e38a5daeb2935fb60c06135ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bangaloreof Chennai, Bangalore
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Bangalore | 53c | 8,610$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Chennai | 45c | 3,106$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…a3fbbacked Chennai | 4c | 2,234$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…8f76backed Chennai | 59c | 1,867$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1903…b6d9backed Chennai | 50c | 1,812$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bangalore | 41c | 1,748$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.28 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Chennai | 32c | 1,030$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Chennai | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.8 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…852abacked Chennai | 7c | 940$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bangalore | 63c | 873.02$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Chennai | 48c | 657.14$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.65 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Chennai | 50c | 624$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…d7f2backed Chennai | 49c | 604.6$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Bangalore | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Bangalore | 54c | 589.5$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Chennai | 51c | 500$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…adf1backed Chennai | 41c | 495.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Chennai | 25c | 409.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Chennai | 25c | 383.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…503bbacked Bangalore | 78c | 352.45$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…3947backed Bangalore | 53c | 350$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1d…a08fbacked Chennai | 46c | 322.76$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Chennai | 58c | 315$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Chennai | 19c | 310.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Bangalore | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Bangalore | 43c | 278.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…febfbacked Bangalore | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Bangalore | 45c | 209.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Chennai | 55c | 190.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…a9bebacked Chennai | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…7273backed Chennai | 41c | 122.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…8d4fbacked Chennai | 55c | 117.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…75e5backed Chennai | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Bangalore | 46c | 94.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…4f6ebacked Chennai | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…612cbacked Chennai | 41c | 72.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Chennai | 34c | 67.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Chennai | 56c | 64.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…919fbacked Chennai | 25c | 48.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Bangalore | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Chennai | 44c | 42.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536c…d5e5backed Chennai | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…ad41backed Chennai | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48c1…b4ecbacked Chennai | 47c | 21.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad7…457ebacked Chennai | 57c | 21.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…a9a3backed Chennai | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.