Cricket · resolved market
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Rajasthan Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf303294025aa23a882902aaf4277dcd6d941db4290be356cd8af273f6d411aa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royal Challengers Bangaloreof Royal Challengers Bangalore, Rajasthan Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8096…f6a4backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 61c | 55,200$33,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…a1dbbacked Rajasthan Royals | 39c | 53,400$20,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,826 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…b97abacked Rajasthan Royals | 39c | 24,870$9,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,697.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…fe63backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 61c | 24,670$15,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,621.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rajasthan Royals | 39c | 4,892$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 61c | 4,435$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.85 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Rajasthan Royals | 41c | 3,349$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.09 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 61c | 2,959$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 59c | 1,693$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.14 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…3232backed Rajasthan Royals | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Rajasthan Royals | 40c | 1,521$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 39c | 1,198$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.89 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 799.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Rajasthan Royals | 39c | 385.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rajasthan Royals | 41c | 364.24$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Rajasthan Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Rajasthan Royals | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Rajasthan Royals | 55c | 195$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Rajasthan Royals | 42c | 160.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…6db5backed Rajasthan Royals | 40c | 146.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 49c | 104.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed Rajasthan Royals | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 58c | 98.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 87.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e8…a3fdbacked Rajasthan Royals | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Rajasthan Royals | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…149ebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 46c | 65.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Rajasthan Royals | 60c | 62.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…e08dbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 66c | 61.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rajasthan Royals | 41c | 55.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 51.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…086abacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…b066backed Rajasthan Royals | 41c | 48.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 46.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 58c | 43.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Rajasthan Royals | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rajasthan Royals | 45c | 40.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…245abacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5de…ff98backed Rajasthan Royals | 48c | 28.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…3878backed Rajasthan Royals | 47c | 21.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…fd4abacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.