TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe841…d8a4backed Yes39c52,067$20,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,760.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+108.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57bc…ec65backed No61c52,067$31,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,760.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No79c41,183$32,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,706.161145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Yes21c10,794$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,523.4814356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes57c8,964$5,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.459219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked Yes14c5,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3003100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+245.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes34c4,420$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.036866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No37c3,944$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.043345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes43c3,520$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.7812523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes14c3,367$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,912.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes50c3,303$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.720843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes17c3,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.7113219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked No45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3505521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb636…32bbbacked No15c2,311$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes34c2,288$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.987028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes22c2,175$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.325137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes31c2,029$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.096225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes16c2,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6908330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes17c1,773$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.867433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes56c1,717$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.568939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes58c1,634$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.5512646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes56c1,526$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.946331.7%20 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes37c1,452$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.366835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes18c1,361$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.62944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe281…e7bfbacked No6c1,100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes18c1,099$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.915420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes70c1,088$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.621428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-56.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Yes19c1,083$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.224472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6ff9…066abacked Yes15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+66.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes18c888.89$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.89742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes18c872.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.451540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No9c762.34$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.787233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a6…56f4backed Yes42c716.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes35c710.1$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.2615922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Yes71c696.7$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No16c675.88$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2712353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3182378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc172…a1cabacked No8c585.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed No14c482.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6512419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No58c450.02$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.514551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes21c436.17$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.8812325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No38c435.33$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8311266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No35c413.15$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.343571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed No62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2486136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc657…9f83backed Yes54c393.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Yes17c385$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.555418.5%10 W · 44 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc26…24d0backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes27c369.77$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.776055%33 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No58c357.08$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6112616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb5…cf53backed Yes33c335.29$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+49.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes55c306.62$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.98650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked Yes48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaab…24ddbacked No65c300$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1942035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2c…c0a0backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No30c280.33$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.559165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes29c275.74$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1971421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed Yes16c265.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.431060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc91…3330backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes62c262.9$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.94040%16 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3832…7044backed Yes34c250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+97.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No24c245.03$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.875763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Yes41c243.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.892548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No72c236.65$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.062152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87cd…6f2abacked No78c236.41$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.361060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47b9…e8f6backed Yes43c233.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-61.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…7443backed Yes40c233.26$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes17c212.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.461050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22b4…49acbacked Yes39c205.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.131233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Yes36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1286246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes12c182.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.751833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+41.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked No62c179.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.12420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ee…956ebacked Yes39c163.85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No61c160$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.126633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Yes13c160$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes76c150.7$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed No20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe112…987cbacked Yes77c149.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6d…2a58backed Yes39c148.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x074b…a249backed Yes17c147.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.06633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+50.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes29c135.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.75850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae2…5dc1backed Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd878…74efbacked Yes41c122.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.111844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x423b…0972backed Yes38c120.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd416…df81backed Yes17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.652236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes37c117.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.352433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes13c110$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.753735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbe…d499backed Yes38c105.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f4…7700backed Yes42c103.52$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.821435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x530e…a4b2backed Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…b63dbacked Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2e…0c6abacked Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick20cpaid+122.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6710051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7023…d5e1backed Yes22c93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.111030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x054f…875fbacked Yes22c90.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+208.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No23c86.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.914673.9%34 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes55c80.64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.59650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.