TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,114 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1031…f65fbacked No63c60,198$37,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,273.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2883…293dbacked Yes37c60,198$22,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,273.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No66c6,143$4,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.2114356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes36c5,210$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.7412523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes21c5,197$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.119219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes23c4,546$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.812646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed No74c4,500$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.421428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-56.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes36c3,500$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24421337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47b9…e8f6backed Yes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-61.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes21c2,474$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.178939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No65c2,449$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.581421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes11c1,901$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.363345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No62c1,512$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.666866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes30c1,501$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.726225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcdf…403ebacked Yes34c1,487$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No63c1,449$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.938330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No63c1,300$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.992669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2130…b64dbacked Yes34c1,242$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.072236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes38c1,163$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.486835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked No61c937.11$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.98944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes16c915.69$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5160%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed Yes36c857.19$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.593658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes38c840$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.85420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed No62c797.26$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes38c791.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff9…066abacked Yes36c699.98$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+66.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62d…a9dabacked Yes2c694.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.290%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec4…d553backed No64c677.5$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.271136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes35c657.37$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.825137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f3…1712backed Yes38c527.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick37cpaid-90.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked No64c506.03$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+245.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704015%6 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Yes34c486.81$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.524472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No63c482.06$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.372944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes28c474.15$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6712616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes6c426.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.14714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc26…24d0backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes36c416$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.763348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc657…9f83backed Yes28c394.44$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a8…5df3backed Yes36c383$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.881723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3be2…08c0backed No64c365.24$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No67c363.64$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.645763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes5c350.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.557233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No79c335$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.592152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No79c306$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.381540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked No68c294.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b13…850bbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa13…8b70backed Yes37c261.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No67c251.56$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.194551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c7…c88fbacked No64c249.5$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.821241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff5…8c56backed Yes18c217.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes35c216$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.546055%33 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87cd…6f2abacked No80c200.93$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.191060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c1…e861backed Yes28c199.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.021414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65a2…962abacked Yes37c189.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes23c181$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.822420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes48c180.92$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee7…237abacked Yes15c180.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f4…7700backed Yes34c175.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.161435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes8c170.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25922%13 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb33…ef60backed Yes38c152.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes33c151.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked No62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed Yes37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.56845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73af…9af8backed Yes39c145.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5445…58f0backed Yes38c144.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda3…274dbacked Yes37c142.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad0…a9d8backed Yes35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No70c135.83$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.076966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8949…5e21backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbe…d499backed Yes38c129.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ce…de32backed Yes14c124.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed Yes37c123$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.511060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No70c117.6$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.64673.9%34 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No74c111.54$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.969165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No62c111$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.183250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcb…a331backed Yes35c109.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83f2…85babacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2c…e459backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.42633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-48.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb21…8145backed No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4015932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc172…a1cabacked Yes17c97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes35c93.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7212353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…d5d5backed Yes38c92.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7023…d5e1backed Yes21c90.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.231030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f9…f503backed Yes36c88.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a56…695bbacked No69c87.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…0ac5backed No69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.96742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x754f…4e38backed No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes31c79.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8312325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No64c78.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.214100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.