TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will George Russell win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,586 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes1c5,103$27 inLost-$27.13100%0 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes3c3,718$117 inLost-$116.885420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes4c3,297$120 inLost-$120.081421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…3d8abacked Yes1c2,100$22 inLost-$21.661315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+179.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes4c2,009$76 inLost-$76.33130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes5c1,957$91 inLost-$90.969219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes3c1,090$31 inLost-$31.26136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes7c1,000$66 inLost-$66.15137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-87.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56a6…56f4backed Yes5c926.09$50 inLost-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c1…e861backed Yes7c920.44$64 inLost-$64.411414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes6c613$37 inLost-$36.675959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b51…9c96backed Yes7c583.22$40 inLost-$4090%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcb…a331backed Yes5c511.75$25 inLost-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes3c509.67$14 inLost-$13.742944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0d…1744backed Yes3c483.58$15 inLost-$14.538427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11fb…31d6backed Yes4c360.29$15 inLost-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-79.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c150$11 inLost-$10.653766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.