TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56a6…56f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Boxing at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$358.29
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+165.3%+$41.31
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+231%+$110.73
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$48.72
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$123
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4436.4%16 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+69.3%+$138.55
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+594.4%+$445.83
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$166.94
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+116.5%+$174.69
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+257.1%+$64.29
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+95.7%+$191.34
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52.93
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+246.3%+$123.16
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+166.1%+$83.05
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.69
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.41
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$50.22
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$111.66
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
All 18 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+116.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+119.3%+$715.92
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+154%+$461.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.