NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4741df4f013ac2a7c5c44667074b0b76d1e600291a6d39ac6888428c9b07c02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Patriots, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,824,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,689,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,824,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,031 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Patriots | 77c | 509,503$394,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,342.14 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Bengals | 24c | 474,505$113,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,881.2 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Patriots | 77c | 265,201$204,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,996.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bengals | 23c | 165,555$38,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,077.65 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Bengals | 23c | 165,044$37,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,450.54 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Patriots | 76c | 125,000$95,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Patriots | 76c | 102,805$78,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,252.65 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bengals | 23c | 94,882$21,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,822.86 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Patriots | 76c | 93,331$70,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,399.47 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bengals | 23c | 92,325$21,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,234.72 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Bengals | 24c | 80,462$19,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,310.85 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bengals | 24c | 62,000$14,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,880 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Bengals | 24c | 55,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Bengals | 24c | 50,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bengals | 25c | 50,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,499.97 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bengals | 23c | 49,996$11,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,499.08 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Patriots | 76c | 40,000$30,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…2657backed Bengals | 24c | 40,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.95 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Bengals | 23c | 39,999$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.84 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bengals | 23c | 38,595$9,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,046.01 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Patriots | 78c | 38,500$30,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,470 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bengals | 23c | 36,435$8,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,426.66 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Patriots | 71c | 35,155$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,154.97 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Patriots | 77c | 35,000$26,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bengals | 23c | 32,946$7,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,726.75 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Bengals | 23c | 31,450$7,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,233.49 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bengals | 25c | 30,972$7,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.46 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bengals | 23c | 28,954$6,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,659.4 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Bengals | 23c | 28,830$6,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,521.05 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bengals | 23c | 28,477$6,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608.67 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Bengals | 24c | 24,765$5,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,943.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Bengals | 26c | 24,145$6,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,277.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Patriots | 77c | 21,000$16,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,932.72 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bengals | 24c | 20,042$4,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.02 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots | 75c | 18,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Bengals | 22c | 17,164$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.79 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Patriots | 75c | 16,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bengals | 23c | 15,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Patriots | 76c | 14,222$10,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.51 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bengals | 23c | 13,072$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.63 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Bengals | 33c | 12,679$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.09 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Bengals | 23c | 12,522$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Patriots | 72c | 12,425$9,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.09 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Patriots | 76c | 12,336$9,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.06 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Bengals | 23c | 11,538$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.68 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Patriots | 75c | 11,152$8,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.75 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bengals | 24c | 10,802$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.18 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bengals | 19c | 10,711$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.05 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Patriots | 71c | 10,407$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.02 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Bengals | 26c | 9,615$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.9 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Patriots | 75c | 9,353$6,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.63 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Bengals | 42c | 9,068$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,773 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Bengals | 23c | 8,913$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Bengals | 23c | 7,695$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.86 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Bengals | 25c | 6,500$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.53 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bengals | 22c | 6,066$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.58 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Patriots | 76c | 6,000$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Bengals | 22c | 5,728$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.25 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bengals | 9c | 5,582$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.08 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…49bbbacked Patriots | 77c | 5,168$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Patriots | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…821cbacked Patriots | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Patriots | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Patriots | 67c | 5,000$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.05 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bengals | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9123…1821backed Bengals | 23c | 4,896$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Patriots | 77c | 4,847$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bengals | 14c | 4,805$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.02 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Patriots | 76c | 4,575$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bengals | 25c | 4,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Bengals | 24c | 4,444$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.34 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Patriots | 71c | 4,358$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.6 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Bengals | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.04 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Bengals | 39c | 4,323$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bengals | 3c | 4,217$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b49bbacked Patriots | 76c | 4,159$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bengals | 23c | 4,005$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.9 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Patriots | 75c | 4,000$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Bengals | 24c | 3,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…a645backed Patriots | 60c | 3,355$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.85 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Bengals | 22c | 3,333$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Patriots | 76c | 3,289$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.47 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Patriots | 63c | 3,196$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Bengals | 24c | 3,088$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.96 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Patriots | 72c | 3,056$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.56 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Patriots | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bengals | 23c | 3,000$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.77 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Bengals | 25c | 2,920$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Patriots | 69c | 2,907$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.68 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Patriots | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…b79abacked Patriots | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Bengals | 25c | 2,611$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b64…ff96backed Bengals | 26c | 2,600$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Patriots | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b1…f848backed Bengals | 8c | 2,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Patriots | 72c | 2,458$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0f…5925backed Bengals | 23c | 2,354$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bengals | 24c | 2,353$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.43 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bengals | 33c | 2,353$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.08 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c27…390fbacked Patriots | 78c | 2,288$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Patriots vs. Bengalsthis page
- Patriots vs. Bengals: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 49.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-5.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Patriots (-8.5)Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.