NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf91809f4a9cde54006c07d285c0efc49548f3d6f2e44e014fd2a56de134f843
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 14,045$6,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,485.19 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Under | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 53c | 7,122$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.47 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 671.53$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 52c | 401.43$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.16 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…3b49backed Over | 46c | 168.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…29fbbacked Over | 46c | 163.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…ab5bbacked Over | 46c | 160.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc57…78d2backed Over | 46c | 158.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…8b55backed Over | 46c | 148.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…bbf5backed Over | 46c | 147.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…70edbacked Over | 46c | 146.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f88ebacked Over | 46c | 142.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28e…4a61backed Over | 46c | 140.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…37edbacked Under | 57c | 138.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3133…6ecbbacked Over | 46c | 137.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…5f96backed Under | 57c | 134.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9378…364ebacked Under | 57c | 134.46$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe314…e217backed Under | 57c | 133.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…4eaabacked Over | 46c | 133.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…81c2backed Under | 57c | 132.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f7…996bbacked Under | 57c | 129.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…45c5backed Under | 57c | 128.42$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf46…c783backed Under | 57c | 123.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 54c | 119.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…4a01backed Under | 57c | 117.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b06…f1e1backed Under | 57c | 114.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a19…6ac3backed Under | 57c | 114.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…6de9backed Under | 57c | 111.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…1ec4backed Under | 57c | 109.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf019…e64ebacked Under | 57c | 106.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…1d67backed Over | 46c | 65.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…d9b2backed Over | 46c | 63.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…a83dbacked Over | 46c | 62.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…5c94backed Over | 46c | 60.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…4762backed Over | 46c | 59.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…a7b0backed Over | 46c | 59.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c0…226dbacked Over | 46c | 57.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…093bbacked Over | 46c | 55.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…445bbacked Over | 46c | 54.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…0e24backed Over | 46c | 53.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…38b2backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…be28backed Under | 57c | 52.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…1ccfbacked Under | 57c | 52.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…1ef2backed Under | 57c | 51.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cf…cbb3backed Over | 46c | 51.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…f31ebacked Over | 46c | 50.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…ac6ebacked Under | 57c | 50.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…6102backed Over | 46c | 50.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe909…f847backed Over | 46c | 48.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399a…748abacked Under | 57c | 48.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…0abfbacked Over | 46c | 46.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eab…525ebacked Under | 57c | 45.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7640…a5aabacked Over | 46c | 45.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…25f8backed Under | 57c | 44.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…aeb7backed Over | 46c | 43.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ad…52a2backed Over | 46c | 43.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…33a6backed Under | 57c | 43.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac5…bc3ebacked Under | 57c | 43.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d5…610abacked Under | 57c | 42.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…461abacked Under | 57c | 42.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…a19ebacked Under | 57c | 41.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…15dbbacked Under | 57c | 41.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…d74bbacked Under | 57c | 41.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…b628backed Under | 57c | 41.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e75…e3bfbacked Under | 57c | 41.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1a…3139backed Under | 57c | 39.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…7850backed Under | 57c | 37.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…3c4dbacked Under | 57c | 37.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3557…625cbacked Under | 57c | 36.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…b4f2backed Under | 57c | 35.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…4c52backed Under | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…3702backed Under | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 57c | 28.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 27.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 43c | 25.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5this page
- Patriots vs. BengalsPatriots won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 49.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-5.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Patriots (-8.5)Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.