NFL · resolved market
Spread: Patriots (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff2ccbf5cec5705545af5451c00d096486e30a84e87d9c401514342cc20c7136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Patriots, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Patriots | 47c | 56,464$26,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,754.6 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bengals | 52c | 23,116$12,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,095.5 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bengals | 53c | 20,306$10,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,590 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Patriots | 47c | 5,529$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.63 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Bengals | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Patriots | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.96 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bengals | 52c | 4,886$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.28 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Patriots | 45c | 3,903$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.11 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Bengals | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Bengals | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bengals | 54c | 2,520$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.19 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Patriots | 46c | 2,254$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…4576backed Bengals | 54c | 2,254$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Bengals | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2c…2f90backed Patriots | 46c | 1,744$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…0a61backed Bengals | 54c | 1,730$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Bengals | 54c | 1,189$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.94 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bengals | 52c | 1,010$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.68 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bengals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Patriots | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Bengals | 53c | 999.93$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.96 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bengals | 53c | 589.57$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.53 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Patriots | 46c | 433.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bengals | 53c | 424.9$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.7 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bengals | 58c | 416$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bengals | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Bengals | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…3ab9backed Patriots | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Bengals | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Bengals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Patriots | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Bengals | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Patriots | 49c | 188.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Bengals | 56c | 178.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Bengals | 54c | 171.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Patriots | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Patriots | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Patriots | 48c | 160$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Bengals | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked Bengals | 59c | 135.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Patriots | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Bengals | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Patriots | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Bengals | 55c | 100.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Bengals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bengals | 52c | 98.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Bengals | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Patriots | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Bengals | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bengals | 55c | 78.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…bed5backed Bengals | 55c | 74.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…452ebacked Patriots | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…a9acbacked Patriots | 47c | 63.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe307…d7f0backed Patriots | 47c | 62.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…cfa3backed Patriots | 47c | 61.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc855…c692backed Patriots | 47c | 60.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ef…7cd2backed Patriots | 47c | 60.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…8ddebacked Patriots | 47c | 60.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2c…eaf6backed Patriots | 47c | 60.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…8dfebacked Patriots | 47c | 58.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b38…98debacked Patriots | 47c | 56.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ce…e9c7backed Patriots | 47c | 56.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cd40backed Patriots | 47c | 56.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Bengals | 57c | 55.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…8d49backed Patriots | 47c | 55.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e3…6548backed Bengals | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…9c70backed Bengals | 55c | 54.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Patriots | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a1…d913backed Patriots | 47c | 54.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…9e44backed Patriots | 47c | 54.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3276backed Patriots | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…1135backed Bengals | 55c | 52.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Patriots | 44c | 52.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd9…6007backed Bengals | 55c | 52.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…c503backed Bengals | 55c | 52.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…a43cbacked Patriots | 47c | 51.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7e…3843backed Patriots | 47c | 51.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…24a7backed Bengals | 55c | 51.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…fdfebacked Bengals | 55c | 50.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…c814backed Patriots | 47c | 50.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…5fdebacked Bengals | 55c | 50.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Bengals | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Bengals | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…cce3backed Bengals | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4375…21a2backed Patriots | 47c | 49.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…f9f2backed Patriots | 47c | 49.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0481…9157backed Bengals | 55c | 49.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0edf…b88cbacked Bengals | 55c | 48.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…3053backed Patriots | 47c | 48.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…1a4ebacked Patriots | 47c | 48.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf336…5182backed Bengals | 55c | 48.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b9…3210backed Bengals | 55c | 47.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e0…d4c5backed Patriots | 47c | 47.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…1863backed Bengals | 55c | 47.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f4…6b11backed Patriots | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ce…3374backed Bengals | 55c | 46.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dd…b016backed Bengals | 55c | 46.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…c4dabacked Bengals | 55c | 45.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…e13bbacked Bengals | 55c | 45.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7e…19bfbacked Patriots | 47c | 44.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Patriots (-8.5)this page
- Patriots vs. BengalsPatriots won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 49.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-5.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.