NFL · resolved market
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76827d4d989a80d7eea355b49c427d1ac47887c267916de6d5802235160f4a24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Patriots, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Bengals | 52c | 106,091$55,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,923.59 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Patriots | 48c | 87,332$41,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,919.49 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Patriots | 48c | 70,040$33,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,619.16 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bengals | 52c | 41,993$21,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,156.52 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bengals | 52c | 21,143$10,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,151.07 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Patriots | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bengals | 52c | 18,631$9,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,942.89 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Patriots | 49c | 13,955$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,839.72 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bengals | 52c | 13,000$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Patriots | 48c | 11,666$5,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,577.34 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Patriots | 48c | 11,458$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bengals | 51c | 9,930$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.81 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Bengals | 53c | 9,446$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,446.26 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Patriots | 48c | 8,157$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Bengals | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Patriots | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Bengals | 51c | 6,923$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.08 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bengals | 52c | 5,555$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.4 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Patriots | 49c | 4,654$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.67 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bengals | 52c | 4,231$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.69 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Patriots | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bengals | 53c | 3,055$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.75 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Bengals | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Patriots | 48c | 2,501$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.48 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bengals | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Bengals | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Patriots | 48c | 2,340$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.33 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Bengals | 49c | 2,307$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.62 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Bengals | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Patriots | 49c | 1,867$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.32 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Patriots | 54c | 1,840$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.2 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Bengals | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Patriots | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bengals | 52c | 1,320$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.54 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bengals | 57c | 1,260$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.76 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Patriots | 46c | 1,187$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.02 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Patriots | 49c | 1,100$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Patriots | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.61 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Patriots | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Patriots | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Bengals | 51c | 1,020$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.52 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Patriots | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Patriots | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bengals | 53c | 923.38$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.99 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Patriots | 49c | 920.44$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.22 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Patriots | 48c | 919.25$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.24 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Bengals | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Bengals | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bengals | 49c | 678.65$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.54 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Patriots | 47c | 635$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.77 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Patriots | 28c | 610$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcde5…32b5backed Patriots | 48c | 505$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bengals | 52c | 503.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.03 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Patriots | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Patriots | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Patriots | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…73f3backed Bengals | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Bengals | 52c | 390$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Bengals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…40b4backed Patriots | 48c | 370$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Patriots | 44c | 322.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0123backed Patriots | 49c | 314.29$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Patriots | 48c | 302.65$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Patriots | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Bengals | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Patriots | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Patriots | 31c | 290$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Patriots | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Patriots | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Bengals | 57c | 234.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Patriots | 43c | 220.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Patriots | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Bengals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bengals | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Patriots | 49c | 189$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Bengals | 53c | 188.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Patriots | 48c | 167.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…58e4backed Patriots | 49c | 161.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bengals | 49c | 161$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Patriots | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Patriots | 48c | 137.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Bengals | 51c | 135.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Patriots | 48c | 129.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bengals | 49c | 125.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Patriots | 51c | 118.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Bengals | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Bengals | 42c | 104$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Patriots | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…5ed7backed Bengals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Patriots | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…1df2backed Bengals | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Patriots | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81dd…90f6backed Bengals | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Patriots | 48c | 94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed Patriots | 48c | 84.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Bengals | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Patriots | 48c | 54.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bengals | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Patriots | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Patriots (-7.5)this page
- Patriots vs. BengalsPatriots won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 49.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-5.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Patriots (-8.5)Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.