Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x786cf93b9d42fa86fc34d169ecd25dd241d2c18d981079a76003f3509a398be3

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $512,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $511,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $512,218 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 566 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes	1c	99,843$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.37	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed No	69c	59,999$41,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,599.74	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes	31c	50,098$15,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,459.04	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes	31c	28,103$8,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,637.19	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-7.2wins	-0.22per pick	43cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	70c	24,100$16,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,181.46	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c24…8772backed Yes	1c	21,891$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.26	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed No	72c	21,353$15,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,979.53	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No	69c	20,350$14,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,261.89	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No	69c	17,939$12,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,483.05	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes	30c	16,352$4,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,905.7	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No	60c	12,769$7,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,050.32	127	37%47 W · 80 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No	70c	12,500$8,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,774.96	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	69c	11,181$7,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,410.54	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	30c	11,049$3,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,274.58	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed No	53c	10,278$5,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,809.23	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed No	69c	10,000$6,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,099.94	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	69c	9,195$6,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,809.14	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes	29c	8,310$2,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,404	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	71c	6,726$4,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,967.66	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes	31c	6,129$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No	69c	5,801$4,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,798.18	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No	70c	5,788$4,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,727.86	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No	70c	5,714$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,714.29	162	60.5%98 W · 64 L	+22.3wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+29%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x57be…7723backed Yes	1c	5,342$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe22e…074bbacked Yes	0c	5,041$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.27	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes	28c	4,821$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	77	29.9%23 W · 54 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No	69c	4,741$3,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,469.83	145	53.8%78 W · 67 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c2f…d8c2backed Yes	46c	4,279$1,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,968.11	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	53c	3,689$1,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,740.27	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b86…ed57backed Yes	28c	3,583$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004.86	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	49c	3,502$1,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,731.52	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	45c	3,475$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,563.58	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes	31c	3,226$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	224	48.2%108 W · 116 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes	31c	3,226$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	31c	3,226$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ce7…432fbacked Yes	30c	2,884$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.14	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes	29c	2,759$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdafe…c5b5backed Yes	47c	2,683$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.68	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.27per pick	50cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Yes	8c	2,625$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.77	214	39.7%85 W · 129 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes	25c	2,594$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.27	352	29.3%103 W · 249 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes	28c	2,481$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.47	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed No	59c	2,323$1,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.44	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…9c9dbacked Yes	44c	2,027$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.04	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	31c	2,010$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.4	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes	31c	2,000$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	69c	2,000$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.98	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc30b…b9dbbacked Yes	28c	1,786$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Yes	29c	1,707$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64fe…3586backed Yes	31c	1,675$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.3	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+4.5wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Yes	41c	1,666$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.09	176	50%88 W · 88 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes	30c	1,620$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.98	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Yes	31c	1,613$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Yes	31c	1,613$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	130	43.8%57 W · 73 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes	31c	1,613$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0593…62febacked Yes	31c	1,613$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes	41c	1,606$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.35	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Yes	32c	1,469$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.18	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes	28c	1,459$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.77	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8536…bed6backed Yes	31c	1,452$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e80…5209backed Yes	47c	1,374$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.69	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	60c	1,365$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.49	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked Yes	5c	1,326$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.52	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked No	69c	1,290$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.9	258	57.4%148 W · 110 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No	70c	1,200$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d0…b4dabacked Yes	28c	1,184$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.56	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Yes	36c	1,160$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.64	68	55.9%38 W · 30 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Yes	41c	1,152$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.1	95	55.8%53 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb28…3694backed Yes	42c	1,150$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.5	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes	31c	1,103$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb42…a8a7backed Yes	55c	1,091$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20c6…45aebacked Yes	28c	1,071$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	127	36.2%46 W · 81 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3820…2112backed Yes	28c	1,071$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.88	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd289…74e8backed Yes	28c	1,068$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.06	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Yes	30c	1,005$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.46	93	54.8%51 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	53c	1,003$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.87	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Yes	29c	1,002$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.45	158	37.3%59 W · 99 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No	69c	1,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	219	57.5%126 W · 93 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	69c	1,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes	31c	1,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	100	14%14 W · 86 L	+11.0wins	+0.11per pick	3cpaid	+445.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e64…d958backed No	71c	1,000$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes	28c	999.99$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d57…9d36backed Yes	28c	999.99$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed No	70c	999.63$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.2	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe838…92fbbacked Yes	31c	967.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	37c	966.33$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.64	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes	32c	937.5$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	274	33.9%93 W · 181 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No	69c	888$613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.28	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…d416backed Yes	31c	830.66$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	35c	809.6$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.94	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes	31c	806.45$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	227	49.3%112 W · 115 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa95e…11f6backed Yes	31c	806.45$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No	73c	803$586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.81	149	45%67 W · 82 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7a…2703backed Yes	44c	795.45$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Yes	2c	769.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	137	5.1%7 W · 130 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked Yes	8c	750$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.9	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a52…1a8ebacked Yes	23c	750$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.4	50	38%19 W · 31 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes	4c	750$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	+10.2wins	+0.09per pick	3cpaid	+348.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc28c…36f3backed Yes	28c	749.86$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.96	90	17.8%16 W · 74 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes	4c	742.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	146	38.4%56 W · 90 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsthis page
Dailon Livramento: 1+ goalsNo won
Dailon Livramento: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Jovane Cabral: 1+ goalsNo won
Jovane Cabral: 1+ shotsYes won
Jovane Cabral: 1+ shots on targetNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes won
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Nuno Jóia: 1+ goalsNo won
Nuno Jóia: 1+ shotsNo won
Nuno Jóia: 2+ goalsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event