Lionel Messi: 1+ assists

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2ea439d90e6bf8a783c77cdc4a569229692bb5d00899b18f83ded1075a23c7e

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,118 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb294…a9f4backed No	62c	3,512$2,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,328.65	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No	65c	2,814$1,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990.03	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes	37c	1,555$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes	39c	1,531$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	278	20.1%56 W · 222 L	-17.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No	60c	1,425$855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.19	59	69.5%41 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07c5…5b1fbacked Yes	48c	1,416$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No	59c	1,256$744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.71	311	71.4%222 W · 89 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No	55c	1,142$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508.66	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa94…3601backed Yes	35c	1,023$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.21	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No	58c	799.97$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.99	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No	60c	742.95$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.18	145	53.8%78 W · 67 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes	39c	741.73$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.08	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe838…92fbbacked Yes	35c	714.47$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes	44c	674.18$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	237	36.3%86 W · 151 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	45c	653.8$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.33	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	60c	614.89$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.38	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e2…1371backed No	61c	609.72$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.5	34	76.5%26 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	66cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0627…f26dbacked Yes	41c	604.54$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf29…e395backed Yes	42c	571.07$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.13	98	30.6%30 W · 68 L	-7.2wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f03…fa6dbacked Yes	39c	511.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	59c	499.92$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.97	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	56c	482.95$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.74	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No	50c	482.76$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.38	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x824f…e635backed Yes	33c	454.71$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.78	142	34.5%49 W · 93 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No	61c	425$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.75	66	71.2%47 W · 19 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	57c	419.99$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.6	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa668…f0f1backed Yes	40c	359.68$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.87	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Yes	42c	357.75$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	277	32.5%90 W · 187 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d59…8538backed Yes	8c	342.4$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.68	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed No	57c	333.5$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.04	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked No	55c	325.97$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.69	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes	43c	318.6$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	57c	284.72$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.4	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Yes	39c	278.05$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.44	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	134	45.5%61 W · 73 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes	5c	241.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.84	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes	40c	237.5$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	95	30.5%29 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ec7backed Yes	43c	203.05$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa599…9176backed No	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	151	77.5%117 W · 34 L	+13.1wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c09…e173backed Yes	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	56c	200$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	57c	184.99$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.84	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No	58c	182.86$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.8	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	61c	153.99$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.66	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	34c	147.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.39	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f0…8e2ebacked Yes	41c	147.34$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.41	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	25c	147.34$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.84	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d69…7540backed Yes	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	152	26.3%40 W · 112 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	160	16.3%26 W · 134 L	-11.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf0e…3495backed Yes	43c	138.71$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617d…90cfbacked Yes	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	160	32.5%52 W · 108 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Yes	42c	120$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	42c	120$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaece…6fcfbacked Yes	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d7…7106backed Yes	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No	52c	115.74$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.73	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed No	52c	114.39$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.93	238	58%138 W · 100 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8d6…0a8abacked Yes	46c	108.68$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98dc…9949backed Yes	47c	106.85$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c4…4e73backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b50…c5f9backed Yes	35c	99.72$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	66	53%35 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	55c	94.33$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.46	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes	21c	90$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	75	48%36 W · 39 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	54c	83.39$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.54	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes	40c	82.33$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.93	101	56.4%57 W · 44 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8704…566cbacked No	66c	82.14$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.3	65	84.6%55 W · 10 L	+11.4wins	+0.18per pick	67cpaid	+29%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	40c	81.98$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.79	512	28.9%148 W · 364 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed No	53c	80.73$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.81	73	54.8%40 W · 33 L	+9.8wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked No	58c	80$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.28	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes	40c	75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	81	22.2%18 W · 63 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x477e…23b3backed Yes	30c	74.52$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	120	58.3%70 W · 50 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ca…bd95backed Yes	41c	73.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	47	74.5%35 W · 12 L	+7.7wins	+0.16per pick	58cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked No	51c	71.43$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+21.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	40c	69$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…bd16backed Yes	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea7…c6a0backed Yes	45c	67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-4.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked No	54c	66.3$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.5	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+10.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Yes	50c	65.71$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	121	43.8%53 W · 68 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…4064backed Yes	39c	64.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	113	38.1%43 W · 70 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3607…c08bbacked Yes	40c	62.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	175	28%49 W · 126 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x061f…aa02backed Yes	44c	61.82$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	94	38.3%36 W · 58 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb47…96c1backed Yes	41c	60.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Yes	41c	60.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	153	44.4%68 W · 85 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	58c	60.15$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.17	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb635…180dbacked Yes	39c	60$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	117	35%41 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Yes	35c	57.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	81	42%34 W · 47 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes	44c	57.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	291	38.5%112 W · 179 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ef…2b31backed Yes	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73c2…3a29backed Yes	39c	53.1$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9238…9f81backed Yes	37c	51.35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8304…9cfabacked Yes	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b71…ad0abacked Yes	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…08b7backed Yes	40c	51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	99	34.3%34 W · 65 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Yes	39c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-17.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb48b…05a4backed Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd80e…cad8backed Yes	40c	49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	40	35%14 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe577…99bbbacked Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.36per pick	50cpaid	+83%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lionel Messi: 1+ assiststhis page
Dailon Livramento: 1+ goalsNo won
Dailon Livramento: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Jovane Cabral: 1+ goalsNo won
Jovane Cabral: 1+ shotsYes won
Jovane Cabral: 1+ shots on targetNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes won
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo won
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Nuno Jóia: 1+ goalsNo won
Nuno Jóia: 1+ shotsNo won
Nuno Jóia: 2+ goalsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event