Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x325c0e5c877698d4bf27651d5e36fca94a9d8d19d4c4ba1a854113e7cc851285

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $111,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $123,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,173 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No	56c	15,360$8,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,685.27	152	52.6%80 W · 72 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f16…780cbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-55%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	49c	7,473$3,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,630.62	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No	52c	6,968$3,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,315.14	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes	47c	6,367$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed No	74c	6,281$4,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,608.62	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	65c	4,549$2,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,577.13	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	54c	4,302$2,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,975.61	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes	51c	3,960$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	49c	3,786$1,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920.18	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes	39c	3,000$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes	47c	2,963$1,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,402.73	302	14.6%44 W · 258 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	66c	2,760$1,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$948.04	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Yes	47c	2,553$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes	47c	2,428$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.34	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed No	65c	2,303$1,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$806.1	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	65c	2,260$1,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.68	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No	50c	2,000$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.98	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No	53c	1,922$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.3	162	60.5%98 W · 64 L	+22.3wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+29%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	53c	1,911$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.35	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	52c	1,603$834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.42	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Yes	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	48c	1,250$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	245	39.6%97 W · 148 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes	17c	1,225$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.5	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes	47c	1,065$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	278	20.1%56 W · 222 L	-17.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Yes	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	130	43.8%57 W · 73 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe69d…a199backed No	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	48c	943.55$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.99	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes	45c	940$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No	54c	922.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.4	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0484…e36cbacked Yes	48c	833.33$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-39%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No	51c	777$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.73	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe976…8b73backed No	54c	740.74$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.74	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	65c	653.03$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.18	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No	53c	561$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.67	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes	5c	512.04$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	+10.2wins	+0.09per pick	3cpaid	+348.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked No	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+10.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	142	34.5%49 W · 93 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No	51c	470.58$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.59	91	61.5%56 W · 35 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1008…aa9abacked Yes	51c	450$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.5	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0e5…9623backed Yes	30c	430$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…fa6dbacked Yes	47c	427.87$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed Yes	47c	425.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes	25c	392.8$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes	43c	387$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.93	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	55c	385.98$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.24	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffda…c1fcbacked No	49c	385$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.35	33	72.7%24 W · 9 L	+5.7wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	37c	383.71$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.3	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No	65c	379.95$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.19	254	54.7%139 W · 115 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed No	54c	299.99$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	157	42%66 W · 91 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bec…d26abacked Yes	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	125	33.6%42 W · 83 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes	48c	253.96$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.9	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Yes	47c	250$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.5	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No	50c	250$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	59	62.7%37 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes	27c	249.99$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	198	23.7%47 W · 151 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed13…6382backed Yes	49c	249.99$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.49	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	55c	248.59$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.9	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes	24c	246.42$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	83	28.9%24 W · 59 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes	49c	223.68$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	160	32.5%52 W · 108 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2397…55bcbacked Yes	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	187	42.8%80 W · 107 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Yes	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	189	42.3%80 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f0…7bf4backed Yes	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Yes	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cdc…25d5backed No	53c	210$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.7	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	76	32.9%25 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf851…ef53backed Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No	65c	200.97$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.44	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cb…2366backed Yes	48c	196$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.54	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Yes	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	50c	187$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.23	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	6c	180.24$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	51c	177.21$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.98	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes	46c	176.09$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes	47c	171$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.2	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes	46c	163.04$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	135	40%54 W · 81 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No	52c	150$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8842…4f97backed Yes	47c	142.55$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes	27c	137.29$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.68	282	40.8%115 W · 167 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c4…4e73backed Yes	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	68c	130$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.12	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	46c	125.42$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.7	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54bc…d80ebacked Yes	49c	122.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d0…24b5backed Yes	55c	113$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.9	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes	47c	106.48$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dff…6743backed No	51c	103.92$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.92	346	46%159 W · 187 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	115	60%69 W · 46 L	+9.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed No	49c	101.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.56	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No	48c	101.09$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.57	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…cf38backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	136	36.8%50 W · 86 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	26c	99.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No	53c	83.26$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.39	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed No	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1862…36bcbacked Yes	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	331	23.6%78 W · 253 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d0…bb6dbacked Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsthis page
Dailon Livramento: 1+ goalsNo won
Dailon Livramento: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Jovane Cabral: 1+ goalsNo won
Jovane Cabral: 1+ shotsYes won
Jovane Cabral: 1+ shots on targetNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes won
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo won
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Nuno Jóia: 1+ goalsNo won
Nuno Jóia: 1+ shotsNo won
Nuno Jóia: 2+ goalsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event