TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x57cc…cf38

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13636.8%50 W · 86 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$840.45
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.73
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.49
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$77.73
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$93.74
Belgium to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+255.6%+$76.68
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+472.9%+$75.67
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$136.42
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$416
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+137.5%+$276.38
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$135.56
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
First Blood in Game 1?backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$112.58
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$77.65
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.94
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 19 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$83.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$101.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$36.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.