Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium to score first vs. Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a7fb1ef2a76b102114ebba01b34555ea4e7129c2b23797498f17907aade323b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 53,989$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 30c | 30,661$9,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,116.29 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 70c | 17,059$11,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117.76 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 70c | 13,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 29c | 10,921$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.07 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 6,303$4,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.25 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 5,997$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.46 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 5,958$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.67 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 36c | 4,242$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.84 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 71c | 2,125$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.19 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yes | 30c | 2,073$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.76 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c07…48d9backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 70c | 1,950$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 71c | 1,900$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.85 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 70c | 1,818$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.39 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…867ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,817$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.04 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 68c | 1,643$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.22 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…a277backed Yes | 30c | 1,056$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 70c | 999.94$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…2db7backed Yes | 30c | 686.47$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 669.04$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Yes | 29c | 586.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 70c | 499.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 70c | 499.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed No | 71c | 498$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.42 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed No | 71c | 489.53$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.38 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 70c | 401$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…81c8backed Yes | 29c | 390$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 30c | 380$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…eaafbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…c82abacked Yes | 12c | 299$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 295.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…e566backed No | 71c | 284.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 71c | 284$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8207…af57backed No | 71c | 250.7$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…df65backed Yes | 30c | 240.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 71c | 211.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 175.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 175.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 175.32$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…cd8fbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…9beebacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…8152backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0e…6a41backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 163.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 72c | 158.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…73d2backed Yes | 28c | 150.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…0e8dbacked No | 72c | 145.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ef…10c2backed Yes | 30c | 124.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 123.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…b0ccbacked Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 30c | 115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 70c | 114$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 68c | 112.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 75c | 107.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e2…5c64backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…8156backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…2218backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…bcfcbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 216 | 23.1%50 W · 166 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 106 | 14.2%15 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed No | 71c | 95.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cd…0998backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…6cffbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ce…278ebacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…9e48backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 70c | 82.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…78babacked Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…fa4ebacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 70c | 70.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…4478backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…089fbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 67.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…43fcbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 29c | 66.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 65.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…4539backed Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 70c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 71c | 59.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…135bbacked Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 71c | 51.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…4ca8backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…cf38backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium to score first vs. Spain?this page
- Spain to score first vs. Belgium?Yes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.