Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fe5e3bb6b7c6d45cb30672ff568a588cdc3ea8a92b2600b4288da1eff6f71c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 36,060$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.17 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 0c | 25,805$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 6c | 7,905$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.27 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b30…fb47backed Yes | 7c | 3,425$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.73 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 3,271$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…3066backed Yes | 7c | 3,171$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,064$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…4247backed Yes | 8c | 2,797$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.76 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d3…8d48backed Yes | 7c | 1,827$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Yes | 9c | 1,694$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…d47cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37c…d40cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…61a9backed Yes | 7c | 1,295$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…53ffbacked Yes | 8c | 1,094$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…2dd5backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…e05cbacked Yes | 12c | 805.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf299…ce66backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…5366backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ed5bbacked Yes | 7c | 540.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Yes | 7c | 528.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 7c | 435.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 7c | 380$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 6c | 363.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Yes | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 7c | 333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…7269backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…3149backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…e4aebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 18.5%15 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8264…4e80backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d67…9671backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…5b7bbacked Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 7c | 238.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…34bebacked Yes | 7c | 228.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +11.2wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 8c | 226.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…39c8backed Yes | 7c | 217.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…415bbacked Yes | 7c | 215$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…496abacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…1370backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…addfbacked Yes | 7c | 202.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8dd…ddd2backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…0ddcbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 7c | 196.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…06e1backed Yes | 7c | 196$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…4b30backed Yes | 7c | 189.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 189.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…a41bbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…7dd4backed Yes | 7c | 177.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…e529backed Yes | 7c | 148.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…61a9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b92…b193backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6583…d639backed Yes | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?this page
- Belgium to score first vs. Spain?No won
- Spain to score first vs. Belgium?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.