Fifa International · resolved market
Spain to score first vs. Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2afed6d9421eb6b669d72e22f008cefc477a128ead5016c65d90a2ccd15880e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 34c | 21,202$7,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,208.53 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 66c | 14,406$9,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940.17 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 35c | 10,833$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.09 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 35c | 9,373$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.5 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Yes | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.76 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 65c | 7,139$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.36 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 66c | 6,956$4,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.04 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Yes | 65c | 5,100$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.57 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 35c | 4,028$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.46 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 3,921$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 66c | 3,900$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 35c | 3,858$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.75 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 35c | 3,753$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.18 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked No | 34c | 2,660$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.42 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 34c | 2,535$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.59 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 34c | 2,003$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.37 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…4f6bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 34c | 1,400$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 34c | 1,385$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.48 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 66c | 825$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c0…cf74backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…0fe4backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 35c | 669.02$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.47 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…e94cbacked Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 35c | 550$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1074…0222backed Yes | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 64c | 529.23$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.52 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes | 65c | 473.83$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.08 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 65c | 467.97$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.72 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…78f3backed Yes | 66c | 462.12$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c75…a628backed Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 35c | 401$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…721fbacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f4…53f2backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…5b56backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…677abacked Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 35c | 299.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…9fa4backed Yes | 65c | 295.26$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 34c | 285.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 37c | 259.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 65c | 254.46$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed Yes | 66c | 253.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 65c | 249.96$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…366abacked Yes | 66c | 247.53$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…c62cbacked Yes | 66c | 242.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…735ebacked Yes | 63c | 239.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 29c | 235.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.12 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95af…6ba1backed Yes | 66c | 228.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +132.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…17cabacked Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba39…b4b6backed Yes | 65c | 226.83$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Yes | 65c | 211.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 70c | 204.12$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 34c | 199.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…c69fbacked No | 36c | 178$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked No | 35c | 174.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 35c | 161.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…3f75backed No | 35c | 161.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…c949backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 64c | 157.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…55e5backed No | 35c | 154$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a02…8b73backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…dab3backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0840…9ab7backed Yes | 65c | 152.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…9fc0backed Yes | 66c | 152.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…815fbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701b…f052backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…d1ffbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f5b0backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f4…4a91backed Yes | 66c | 151.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Yes | 66c | 151.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Yes | 66c | 151.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 35c | 149.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…c1fdbacked Yes | 65c | 149.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…0ddfbacked Yes | 65c | 133.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…f125backed Yes | 66c | 133.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 130.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ef…10c2backed Yes | 65c | 122.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb938…08acbacked Yes | 65c | 122.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 67c | 121.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…1422backed Yes | 65c | 121$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed No | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 34c | 119$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…9743backed Yes | 66c | 112.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d8…f3c6backed Yes | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain to score first vs. Belgium?this page
- Belgium to score first vs. Spain?No won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.