Fifa International · resolved market
Spain leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad4c1097b95b232c0723fcb03a42ee3e960a41eedcca5e74476c75638563c569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $485,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $553,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 33,083$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.41 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Yes | 80c | 25,223$20,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.68 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 24,753$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.02 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 13c | 16,682$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.64 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 6c | 13,711$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.07 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 10,320$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,819.84 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked No | 4c | 7,858$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.87 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 6,662$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 25c | 6,277$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.34 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 23c | 6,109$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.49 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 6,036$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.93 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 25c | 5,687$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.92 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 66c | 5,475$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.34 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 4,518$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.47 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 28c | 4,118$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.25 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 60c | 3,750$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.2 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked No | 1c | 3,535$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 15c | 3,513$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.17 | 178 | 27.5%49 W · 129 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 62c | 3,205$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.83 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 73c | 2,873$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.67 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed No | 78c | 2,817$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 2,736$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.39 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 27c | 2,458$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.96 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 25c | 2,222$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked No | 38c | 2,174$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.29 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 75c | 1,755$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.84 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed No | 6c | 1,608$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 270 | 32.2%87 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 47c | 1,565$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.78 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 25c | 1,558$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.55 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 1,554$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.79 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 7c | 1,519$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 1,469$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.85 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 35c | 1,272$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.1 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 34c | 1,207$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.44 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 29c | 1,178$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.9 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 26c | 1,157$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.42 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.84 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 30c | 1,109$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.12 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 74c | 1,104$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.7 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 35c | 1,045$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.57 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Yes | 70c | 941.01$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.37 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 30c | 931.37$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.93 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 71c | 856.5$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.41 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 3c | 799.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…e264backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 19c | 760.77$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.87 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 15c | 721$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 54c | 696$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.56 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 22c | 692.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…1f96backed Yes | 25c | 660.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 23c | 656.24$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 52c | 643.72$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.24 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed No | 26c | 638.66$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 37c | 629.83$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.36 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 29c | 607.36$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 39c | 587.5$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 44c | 564.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.09 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 15c | 556.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 73c | 550$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 51c | 541.46$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.72 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 33c | 523.2$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 512.15$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.32 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 510.61$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.16 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 48c | 500$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.92 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed No | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 53c | 485.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.34 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 25c | 480$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 25c | 470$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 45c | 469.41$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.12 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a05…e993backed Yes | 75c | 411.61$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 45c | 394.6$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 11c | 391$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 33c | 369$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 27c | 360$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 37c | 359$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.83 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Yes | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x181c…fc82backed Yes | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 21c | 330$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 38c | 329.08$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked No | 12c | 325$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 75c | 300.16$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked No | 20c | 299.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked No | 52c | 283.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 74c | 280.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.93 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 37c | 275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 63c | 273.79$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Yes | 75c | 267.47$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 23c | 265.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 46c | 263.45$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.47 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 29c | 246.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain leading at halftime?this page
- France leading at halftime?No won
- France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.