Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e6431df0ecf4057488f8378d57ebdac261522f30c72d01b120fdaab27941c51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 54c | 66,931$36,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,603.43 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,500 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 46c | 33,837$15,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,476.44 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 18,724$7,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,583.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 46c | 16,330$7,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,483.68 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 13,204$5,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 11,308$6,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.19 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed No | 54c | 9,107$4,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.38 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 56c | 8,666$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.04 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 5,848$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.2 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 43c | 5,589$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.56 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 53c | 5,215$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.37 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…83afbacked Yes | 47c | 4,223$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 3,439$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.28 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 27c | 3,391$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.39 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 46c | 3,304$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…366abacked Yes | 45c | 2,667$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 2,450$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.82 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 22c | 2,250$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,171$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…f836backed Yes | 24c | 2,108$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…aa69backed Yes | 24c | 2,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 17c | 2,050$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.11 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af3…550cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,871$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…9a49backed Yes | 9c | 1,762$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 62c | 1,647$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.07 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebc…6bfdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,428$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 54c | 1,253$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.28 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…0721backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 54c | 1,104$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.84 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked No | 69c | 1,019$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.5 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…1e9fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaf…8ae7backed Yes | 51c | 981.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Yes | 41c | 965.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 16c | 956.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 948.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 77c | 934.13$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 55c | 885.45$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.45 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 121 | 23.1%28 W · 93 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 45c | 866.67$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 54c | 848.07$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.11 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 46c | 843.48$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 45c | 817.2$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.74 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Yes | 45c | 800$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 45c | 799.98$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.99 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 53c | 761.8$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.36 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Yes | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeece…ee6fbacked Yes | 46c | 739.13$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 73c | 730$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 23c | 721.92$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 719.61$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…284fbacked Yes | 16c | 699.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cd…f463backed Yes | 46c | 698.15$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 694$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.24 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 694$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.24 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 693.98$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.23 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…d813backed Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 70c | 629.83$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.59 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…650bbacked Yes | 8c | 620$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 51c | 593.04$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.16 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9c…78babacked Yes | 25c | 551.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 70c | 521$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 510.6$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 17c | 476.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…da4dbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +225.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 44c | 471.55$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.12 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 56c | 460$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.32 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 10c | 449.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…aacfbacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 72c | 442.24$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 44c | 440$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8f…6de5backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 45c | 420$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 47c | 419.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.39 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…dd3abacked Yes | 24c | 417.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 403.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 65c | 403$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…473cbacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x971d…19bcbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 61c | 398.94$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 46c | 386$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.56 | 277 | 44.8%124 W · 153 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 66c | 379.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.16 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 76c | 379.96$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 16c | 359$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d10…3bddbacked Yes | 11c | 350$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?this page
- France leading at halftime?No won
- Spain leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.