Lol · resolved market
First Blood in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9234b8ea5c3c5331871c7cbe5dc06229f687aec03bafbce458908503bd3806d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof G2 Esports, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LYON | 46c | 999.93$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.96 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…9ec7backed G2 Esports | 10c | 977.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +413.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…eaddbacked G2 Esports | 54c | 495.26$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed G2 Esports | 76c | 459.83$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 588 | 50.5%297 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked LYON | 43c | 299.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…6635backed LYON | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…85b1backed G2 Esports | 54c | 181.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed G2 Esports | 56c | 177.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed G2 Esports | 51c | 174.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed G2 Esports | 51c | 148.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6e…b9d8backed G2 Esports | 54c | 80.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked LYON | 44c | 79.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Esports | 56c | 78.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed LYON | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…58c1backed G2 Esports | 57c | 69.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…ed3bbacked LYON | 46c | 64.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked LYON | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…1baebacked G2 Esports | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LYON | 44c | 41.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…cf38backed LYON | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…b223backed G2 Esports | 54c | 41.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked G2 Esports | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1890…3a35backed G2 Esports | 57c | 39.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed G2 Esports | 39c | 28.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked LYON | 43c | 25.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…439cbacked LYON | 48c | 24.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed G2 Esports | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…b9a1backed G2 Esports | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 276 | 38.4%106 W · 170 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- First Blood in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?LYON won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.