Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd04e810290621ef51455782ffe5ce9f1a54f20d915b98dee90f5a696bb42d6c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab1b…99e1backed Over | 50c | 2,049$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 50c | 1,620$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 50c | 460.21$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 32c | 449.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 49c | 327.25$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…b7e6backed Over | 51c | 286.84$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Under | 51c | 269.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 245.75$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 50c | 203.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Over | 49c | 203.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 50c | 199.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6437…edb1backed Over | 51c | 195.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Under | 56c | 177.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 49c | 151.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…d896backed Over | 57c | 148.29$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 52c | 144.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf3…ebe4backed Under | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…f437backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…8b25backed Over | 51c | 78.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Over | 51c | 74.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…cf44backed Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 52c | 50.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Under | 48c | 49.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 49.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Under | 42c | 44.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Under | 50c | 43.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…b53cbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 251 | 48.2%121 W · 130 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d9…da1fbacked Under | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…96cdbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…81d1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?LYON won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.