TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,611 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed LYON46c480.56$221 inLost-$221.063,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked LYON44c229.17$100 inLost-$100.3342149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed G2 Esports51c220.31$112 inWon+$107.9596149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed G2 Esports50c201.82$102 inWon+$99.9834756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G2 Esports54c201.43$109 inWon+$92.912,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked G2 Esports56c179.19$100 inWon+$79.193050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb460…6e64backed G2 Esports54c92.59$50 inWon+$42.599755.7%54 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed LYON49c91.84$45 inLost-$4512741.7%53 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7743…1baebacked G2 Esports54c68.52$37 inWon+$31.5219559.5%116 W · 79 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7119…db8dbacked G2 Esports54c66.23$36 inWon+$30.565149%25 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed08…ed3bbacked LYON50c60.26$30 inLost-$3022444.6%100 W · 124 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked G2 Esports51c59.99$31 inWon+$29.445444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35a1…bfa6backed LYON39c53.36$21 inLost-$20.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e83…81d1backed LYON49c51.02$25 inLost-$254042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked LYON47c49.98$24 inLost-$23.6961746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed LYON50c40$20 inLost-$2013451.5%69 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0536…a40cbacked G2 Esports50c40$20 inWon+$2021133.2%70 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2e…439cbacked LYON49c38.78$19 inLost-$199334.4%32 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db5…d13cbacked G2 Esports56c35.95$20 inWon+$15.951060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked LYON38c31.36$12 inLost-$11.823957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed G2 Esports52c28.68$15 inWon+$13.682853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked G2 Esports54c28.45$15 inWon+$12.979951.5%51 W · 48 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2da…fdd7backed G2 Esports57c26.02$15 inWon+$11.193151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.