Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41729a6ac848970e80c91a8b33d57d3c611fd9b6f7c31ab1413a6fc0a4fb4f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 45c | 814.58$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.02 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Under | 30c | 744.49$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.17 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Over | 55c | 670.08$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 776 | 54.8%425 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 50c | 635.63$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.86 | 785 | 49.9%392 W · 393 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 50c | 508.33$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 451.96$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.98 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Over | 49c | 404.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Over | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 380.66$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.86 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Under | 51c | 278.19$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Under | 51c | 269.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Over | 50c | 231.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Under | 48c | 206.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Under | 50c | 200.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Under | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…f437backed Over | 52c | 191.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 55c | 138.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…4cf8backed Over | 49c | 135.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Over | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Under | 53c | 99.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 48c | 91.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked Under | 28c | 85.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…b53cbacked Under | 37c | 66.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 251 | 48.2%121 W · 130 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Over | 50c | 63.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…8b25backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 52c | 54.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 50c | 50.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…689bbacked Over | 24c | 47.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…719abacked Under | 44c | 45.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…cbdcbacked Over | 44c | 44.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Under | 46c | 39.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 648 | 46.5%301 W · 347 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 46c | 38.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d9…da1fbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa882…e517backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…cf44backed Over | 55c | 36.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Over | 44c | 32.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…8748backed Over | 47c | 25.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 51c | 24.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…bfa6backed Over | 70c | 24.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…96cdbacked Over | 49c | 24.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 49c | 21.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?LYON won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.