TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe98…85b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT7742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$95.07
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.21
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$109.42
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$357
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$811
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$180.89
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+152.6%+$451.65
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+368.1%+$896.1
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+235.1%+$94.74
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+176.6%+$535.1
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.3
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,143.63
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,548
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$321
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$348
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+126%+$139.85
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$981
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+187.8%+$484.45
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$95.33
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$35.08
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$38.06
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+168.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.