WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c7f67c74d226ea32410198a8f76e5501255209961a1b239fbf9c343c81b2b0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Minnesota Lynx, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 10,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 8,741$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370.42 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 5,091$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.5 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 2,734$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.53 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 2,271$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.44 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 2,021$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.28 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 1,550$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 1,249$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.73 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,240$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 1,230$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.46 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 829.5$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.18 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 791.18$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.68 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 611.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Storm | 74c | 550.67$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +77%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 351$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.65 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 275.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 253$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Minnesota Lynx | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 221$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 203.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 200.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…85b1backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 157$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm | 44c | 150.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 101.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 70.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 60.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 58.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 57.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fed…e9cabacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…5db6backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 49.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Minnesota Lynx | 31c | 39.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…33d0backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 38.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 35.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 31.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Seattle Storm | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbef…aadebacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle StormMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.