WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae9b550f29d226df8b38b7b238ea313b0cc9228d90818397a2c1c9fb2cf17a48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 53c | 23,933$12,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,248.51 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Over | 49c | 9,978$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,889.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 6,814$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.56 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 51c | 5,840$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.89 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 5,296$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.23 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 3,850$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.94 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Under | 52c | 3,060$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.76 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 47c | 2,768$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.98 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 51c | 1,952$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.25 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 1,714$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.58 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 1,594$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.95 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 50c | 863.4$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 46c | 815.96$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.35 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 641.21$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.27 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 47c | 591.23$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.57 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 65c | 462.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.95 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 445.42$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.35 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 393.3$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 261.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 242.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 230$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Over | 57c | 228.47$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 38c | 148.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 50c | 109.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…8501backed Under | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 55c | 85.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 47c | 76.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 75.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 47c | 68.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 51c | 59.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 57.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 51c | 27.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle StormMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.