WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92ec581a1f9a285ebee8b86969f4420e7dfa6bb8d69ebeaa5207f3b9ef5de701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 61c | 3,770$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Over | 64c | 2,719$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 2,583$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.39 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 37c | 1,832$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.81 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 57c | 1,062$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 1,021$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.21 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 1,000$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.27 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 48c | 974$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.52 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 36c | 588.29$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.23 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 37c | 438.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Over | 60c | 426.28$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 414.85$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.28 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 411.16$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.22 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 36c | 403.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.36 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 41c | 390.25$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.36 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 59c | 338.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 61c | 285.35$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 156.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…ab71backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 35c | 141.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…eebfbacked Over | 51c | 137.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 135.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Over | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 97.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 91.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 65.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 38c | 62.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 53c | 56.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…3accbacked Over | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Over | 59c | 50.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 45.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 45c | 44.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 38.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Over | 64c | 37.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 52c | 28.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 66c | 28.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Under | 50c | 27.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 62c | 26.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…b208backed Over | 58c | 21.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 65c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle StormMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.