TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe668…7a6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst WNBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.98
Roehampton: Matteo Martineau vs Lui Maxtedbacked Lui Maxted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.71
Kingston: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.32
ITF M15 Lambermont Men: Mats Pottbecker vs Noah Martensbacked Noah Martens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.08
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Monfils (+1.5)backed Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Moutet (+1.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Aidan Mayobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.04
Lexington: James McCabe vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.27
Plovdiv 2: Hernan Casanova vs Yannick Alexandrescoubacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Warsaw: Laura Samson vs Mona Barthelbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Michael Geertsbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Istanbul 2: Arthur Weber vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.53
Istanbul 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Paul Inchauspebacked Paul Inchauspe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.48
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfilsbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Lexington: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Sebastian Gorznybacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Tomasz Berkieta vs Facundo Menabacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.29
Mubadala Citi DC Open (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Behar/Chandrasekarbacked Bolelli/Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
ITF Huamantla: Joshua Peck vs Matthew Thomsonbacked Matthew Thomson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.45
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Liberec: Franco Roncadelli vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.25
Samsun: Denis Yevseyev vs Vadym Ursubacked Denis Yevseyev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Vancouver: Cody Wong vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Himeno Sakatsume · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Williams (+1.5)backed Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.36
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+107.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+94.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+152.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$32.35
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$38.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.05
Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: AIK O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$143.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$146.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.