WNBA · resolved market
Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c958456f98930821783c48fdc962ad344a5290a250effb932153063023639e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Yes | 12c | 11,646$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.07 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 56c | 908.89$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.09 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed Yes | 45c | 795.64$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…95d4backed No | 57c | 710.12$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…ed8fbacked Yes | 44c | 227.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed No | 56c | 178.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 57c | 172.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed No | 31c | 158.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 44c | 154$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4b…ba66backed Yes | 17c | 99.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 55c | 77.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Yes | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ed90backed Yes | 44c | 67.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Yes | 45c | 44.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed No | 56c | 43.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Yes | 44c | 35.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked Yes | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Yes | 46c | 25.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 51c | 21.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5this page
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.