WNBA · resolved market

Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x727e2e52275995faed9767c351974336ffbc70e583d3dc8bb56280871c743987

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $88,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $111,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,895 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Over	52c	21,064$10,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,147.79	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	52c	13,796$7,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,631.42	237	46.4%110 W · 127 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	48c	9,273$4,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,435.68	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	48c	6,946$3,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,337.04	893	49.4%441 W · 452 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under	49c	5,132$2,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,539.71	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	52c	4,992$2,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,405.94	386	50.3%194 W · 192 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Under	53c	4,301$2,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,289.23	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	48c	3,449$1,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,642.38	837	48.1%403 W · 434 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Under	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	49c	2,787$1,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,356.7	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	50c	2,589$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.99	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	48c	2,287$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098	462	47%217 W · 245 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over	52c	1,442$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$692.18	136	49.3%67 W · 69 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	48c	1,400$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.17	143	45.5%65 W · 78 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	42c	1,277$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$745.02	749	42.3%317 W · 432 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7a…f252backed Over	49c	1,203$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.83	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	49c	1,088$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.82	785	48.8%383 W · 402 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Under	43c	932.73$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-7.6wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Under	47c	859.76$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.85	149	42.3%63 W · 86 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over	49c	820.12$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.1	143	53.8%77 W · 66 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Under	47c	769.83$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.82	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	49c	611.27$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.06	281	40.6%114 W · 167 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	48c	599.99$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.99	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	45c	591.19$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.97	995	48.1%479 W · 516 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Under	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	149	48.3%72 W · 77 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Under	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over	49c	491.76$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.97	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under	51c	490$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.48	157	46.5%73 W · 84 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over	49c	469$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.19	296	54.4%161 W · 135 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	51c	426.87$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.31	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…6555backed Under	52c	386.94$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	49c	356.87$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	51c	338.05$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.41	851	58.4%497 W · 354 L	+70.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under	48c	338.05$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.26	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over	52c	273.48$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.01	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Under	12c	248.19$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.76	98	27.6%27 W · 71 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Under	50c	243.8$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.9	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Over	52c	236.88$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.7	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	48c	229.18$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.01	712	45.4%323 W · 389 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over	56c	226.07$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.26	100	59%59 W · 41 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…002fbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	35.1%26 W · 48 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over	52c	193.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.85	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under	60c	189.47$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.48	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	38c	185$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.3	506	46.8%237 W · 269 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under	10c	148.58$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	449	15.6%70 W · 379 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Under	48c	143.9$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba8…f50bbacked Over	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x467c…614dbacked Over	51c	117.25$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under	11c	109.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	35c	103.85$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+8.2wins	+0.11per pick	40cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Under	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over	55c	88.02$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.39	40	70%28 W · 12 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over	52c	82.17$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.72	123	59.3%73 W · 50 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	62c	75.45$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.67	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	38c	75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	552	55.1%304 W · 248 L	+25.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8541…5c16backed Over	62c	72$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.36	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under	56c	63.01$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.44	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e8…772abacked Over	67c	59.85$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over	53c	59.43$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.93	91	60.4%55 W · 36 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under	51c	59.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.29	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	33c	52.55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.34	224	40.2%90 W · 134 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	56c	49.11$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	246	56.5%139 W · 107 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	56c	49.09$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.49	154	53.2%82 W · 72 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under	54c	47.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.81	85	56.5%48 W · 37 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Under	50c	47.37$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.69	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Under	50c	44.36$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.18	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Under	48c	41.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under	55c	40.09$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.98	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over	51c	39.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.42	108	53.7%58 W · 50 L	+9.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Under	48c	35.64$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under	39c	35.43$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	126	61.1%77 W · 49 L	+11.8wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa211…aaaabacked Under	32c	34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under	56c	29.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.28	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under	49c	26.61$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.04	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under	45c	25.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	192	45.8%88 W · 104 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	51c	25.64$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.04	192	57.3%110 W · 82 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Over	57c	24.01$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.26	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under	49c	23.37$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	144	50%72 W · 72 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under	56c	19.64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-4.3wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5this page
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 19.5No won
Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Over won
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Over won
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event