WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc09722e85530e21d2e5181b10df218b9f9b4e172d97b6b2060a7b6992bf6d6e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 58c | 1,475$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.13 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 980.65$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.63 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 892.34$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 579.58$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.26 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 52c | 327.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 55c | 222.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 210.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 56c | 183.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 43c | 175.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 8c | 161.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 65c | 151.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 149.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Under | 51c | 131.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 54c | 130.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 26c | 116.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…10cabacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 28c | 68.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 75c | 64.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 46c | 64.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 61.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 50c | 58.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 42c | 57.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 57c | 43.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 55c | 41.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 70c | 35.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 35.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…b8b2backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 35c | 29.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 55c | 29.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 45c | 28.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Over | 46c | 22.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 47c | 21.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 56c | 18.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5this page
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.