TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb272…5030backed Toronto Tempo50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.8627449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden State Valkyries53c8,934$4,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,197.1850952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Golden State Valkyries50c6,362$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,184.3238650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Toronto Tempo54c5,847$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1434334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries49c5,498$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.9836154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Toronto Tempo52c5,200$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70410338.8%40 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo47c3,464$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.041,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Golden State Valkyries49c2,846$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.5823245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo48c2,838$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.0299548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Toronto Tempo52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04013746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Golden State Valkyries44c1,835$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.0715741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Golden State Valkyries50c1,825$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.9413649.3%67 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Golden State Valkyries49c1,538$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.0726953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries48c1,320$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.3840550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969e…b834backed Golden State Valkyries56c1,243$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.12917.2%5 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Golden State Valkyries50c1,139$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries42c1,017$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.21,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Valkyries48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.8746247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Golden State Valkyries32c1,005$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.159827.6%27 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo59c994$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.3255255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Golden State Valkyries41c947.53$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.5334726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Golden State Valkyries45c943.09$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.2832150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Golden State Valkyries44c901.89$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.3832540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries49c888.05$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.0383748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6131…b44fbacked Golden State Valkyries49c738.29$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed Golden State Valkyries55c719.82$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.434100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Toronto Tempo50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014948.3%72 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Toronto Tempo52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3126544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Golden State Valkyries51c576.49$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.485461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Tempo49c531.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6712751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Toronto Tempo60c474.87$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.4612661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries46c470.58$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.7285158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Golden State Valkyries48c456.25$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8115746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Toronto Tempo30c409$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8912355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Golden State Valkyries52c400$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.042347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Golden State Valkyries50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Golden State Valkyries47c395.64$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.432360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Golden State Valkyries51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Golden State Valkyries49c366.81$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7610454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Toronto Tempo43c352.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Golden State Valkyries51c350$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.55554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Golden State Valkyries49c347.16$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0530347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Toronto Tempo50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Golden State Valkyries50c296.56$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4431043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Toronto Tempo45c289.33$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.87435.1%26 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Toronto Tempo49c289.03$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.632055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries48c241.74$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5674942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Golden State Valkyries54c241.3$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.899460.6%57 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Golden State Valkyries48c229.17$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1771245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Golden State Valkyries33c223.53$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.198549.4%42 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Golden State Valkyries48c218.06$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.391145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Golden State Valkyries48c206.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.353959%23 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Toronto Tempo46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928038.8%31 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5547…3a41backed Golden State Valkyries25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Toronto Tempo50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009156%51 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Golden State Valkyries50c199.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.997643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Golden State Valkyries54c196$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.777360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Golden State Valkyries51c195$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.559036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb78b…de1abacked Toronto Tempo52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Toronto Tempo52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dea…ae17backed Golden State Valkyries53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Toronto Tempo53c160$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.424347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Golden State Valkyries46c146.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2837650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Toronto Tempo70c136.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2128140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Toronto Tempo56c126.39$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.787732.5%25 W · 52 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Golden State Valkyries42c113$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0931448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Golden State Valkyries50c103.75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3612359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Toronto Tempo50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013348.1%64 W · 69 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Toronto Tempo57c96.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Toronto Tempo54c92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.961752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Golden State Valkyries48c91$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7315748.4%76 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries48c89.66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6250646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Golden State Valkyries49c85.02$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.368045%36 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Toronto Tempo52c80.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.18640.7%35 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8541…5c16backed Golden State Valkyries51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.431353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Golden State Valkyries49c78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.782958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Toronto Tempo64c76.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.087945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Golden State Valkyries48c72.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.823955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Toronto Tempo43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013440.3%54 W · 80 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Golden State Valkyries48c68.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.55853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Golden State Valkyries46c67.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3724852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed Golden State Valkyries45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Golden State Valkyries43c64.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7530649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Golden State Valkyries45c63.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.128748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Golden State Valkyries58c62.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.494452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Toronto Tempo50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Golden State Valkyries54c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.483470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+46.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Toronto Tempo51c57.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1310657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Toronto Tempo52c56.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Golden State Valkyries44c55.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.848556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Toronto Tempo52c52.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5419446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Golden State Valkyries36c51.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8913138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Golden State Valkyries48c50.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3517343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Toronto Tempo50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo52c46.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4389349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Toronto Tempo52c46.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.412642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Toronto Tempo54c46.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a09…ab7ebacked Toronto Tempo49c45.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.262365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Golden State Valkyries48c44.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.122642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.