WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c74ff49b6939f735f7d0a8237f6b28de731eacef1b4a62a7e509cd3d1154048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 3,500$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 3,200$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.01 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 41c | 3,157$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.09 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 1,145$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.82 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 1,045$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.84 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 1,000$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.22 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 888$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 800$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 632.51$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.28 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 575.01$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 500.38$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 495.49$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Toronto Tempo | 61c | 398.36$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 39c | 237.02$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.58 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad00…48babacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 193.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 164.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 157.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 137.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Golden State Valkyries | 40c | 127.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Toronto Tempo | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 112.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 111.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Toronto Tempo | 42c | 106.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 106.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Toronto Tempo | 43c | 93.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Golden State Valkyries | 26c | 91.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 89.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Toronto Tempo | 40c | 80.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Toronto Tempo | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Toronto Tempo | 65c | 72.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 70.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 39.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Toronto Tempo | 41c | 38.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 37.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 31.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Golden State Valkyries | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Toronto Tempo | 39c | 26.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)this page
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.